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Chess game outcome prediction research benchmarks · SOTA2 Research

Chess game outcome prediction

Benchmarks

Dataset NameSOTA MethodSort

Dataset NameSOTA methodMetricTrendResultsLast Updated

Lichess blitz (clock pressure > 60s) April 2026 (full month-wide set)

0.198Brier Score

2

Jun 4, 2026

Lichess blitz (clock pressure 30-60s) April 2026 (full month-wide set)

13.3Brier Score

2

Jun 4, 2026

Lichess blitz (clock pressure 10-30s) April 2026 (full month-wide set)

0.114Brier Score

2

Jun 4, 2026

Lichess blitz (clock pressure < 10s) April 2026

0.091Brier Score

2

Jun 4, 2026

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