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Within-person depression trajectory classification on CES-D severity crossing label N = 411 (test)

84.2Balanced AccuracyLightGBM
30.6444.54558.4572.355Apr 24, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
LightGBMSelection criterion=Best Accuracy and Sensitivity, Model category=Machine learning model2026.0484.290.186.534.4
XGBoostSelection criterion=Best AUC, Model category=Machine learning model2026.0483.490.683.835.6
ElasticNetModel category=Machine learning model2026.0469.983.47324.5
SVMModel category=Machine learning model2026.0469.684.164.930.4
Regression to person's meanModel category=Rule-based baseline, Note=Strongest baseline2026.0467.47554.140.8
Last value carried forwardModel category=Rule-based baseline2026.0433.655.75.45.3
Predict all stableModel category=Rule-based baseline2026.0433.3500—
Person-specific modal classModel category=Rule-based baseline2026.0432.749.90—