Wildfire Ignition Forecasting on FireCastRL US Wildfire Dataset Jan 2025 - Apr 2025 1.0 (test)
73.1AccuracyCNN–LSTM
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN–LSTMtime-series-aware=true, architecture=CNN and LSTM hybrid, input_window=75-day multivariate time series2026.01 | 73.1 | 71 | 70 | 70 | |
| XGBoosttime-series-aware=false, feature_vector_dimension=1125 (flattened)2026.01 | 66.4 | 65 | 56 | 60 | |
| Gradient Boostingtime-series-aware=false, feature_vector_dimension=1125 (flattened)2026.01 | 65.6 | 66 | 49 | 56 | |
| Random Foresttime-series-aware=false, feature_vector_dimension=1125 (flattened)2026.01 | 64.6 | 61 | 59 | 60 | |
| K-Nearest Neighborstime-series-aware=false, feature_vector_dimension=1125 (flattened)2026.01 | 63.7 | 60 | 57 | 59 | |
| Simple-MLPtime-series-aware=false, feature_vector_dimension=1125 (flattened)2026.01 | 62.6 | 57 | 65 | 61 | |
| Decision Treetime-series-aware=false, feature_vector_dimension=1125 (flattened)2026.01 | 62 | 58 | 58 | 58 | |
| Two-Layer-LSTMtime-series-aware=true2026.01 | 61.9 | 62 | 55 | 57 | |
| LightTS-Inspiredtime-series-aware=true2026.01 | 60.6 | 54 | 79 | 64 | |
| Logistic Regressiontime-series-aware=false, feature_vector_dimension=1125 (flattened)2026.01 | 59.7 | 55 | 62 | 58 | |
| Naive Bayestime-series-aware=false, feature_vector_dimension=1125 (flattened)2026.01 | 56.5 | 52 | 58 | 54 |