Weather Forecasting on ISD 10% few-shot (test)
0.215MSEReal (Reference)
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |
|---|---|---|
| Real (Reference)Backbone=TimesNet, Horizon=96, Training Data=100% Real2026.03 | 0.215 | |
| MTransformerBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=96, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.238 | |
| Real (Reference)Backbone=TimesNet, Horizon=192, Training Data=100% Real2026.03 | 0.252 | |
| T2SBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=96, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.255 | |
| Real (Reference)Backbone=Transformer, Horizon=96, Training Data=100% Real2026.03 | 0.255 | |
| Diffusion-TSBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=96, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.262 | |
| MTransformerBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=96, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.272 | |
| MTransformerBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=192, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.274 | |
| TimeVAEBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=96, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.278 | |
| Real OnlyBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=96, Training Data=10% Real2026.03 | 0.285 | |
| Real (Reference)Backbone=Transformer, Horizon=192, Training Data=100% Real2026.03 | 0.288 | |
| T2SBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=192, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.292 | |
| Diffusion-TSBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=192, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.301 | |
| Real (Reference)Backbone=TimesNet, Horizon=336, Training Data=100% Real2026.03 | 0.304 | |
| T2SBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=96, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.305 | |
| MTransformerBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=192, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.305 | |
| TimeVAEBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=192, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.315 | |
| Diffusion-TSBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=96, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.318 | |
| MTransformerBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=336, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.322 | |
| Real OnlyBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=192, Training Data=10% Real2026.03 | 0.324 | |
| TimeVAEBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=96, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.335 | |
| Real (Reference)Backbone=Transformer, Horizon=336, Training Data=100% Real2026.03 | 0.335 | |
| T2SBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=192, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.34 | |
| Real OnlyBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=96, Training Data=10% Real2026.03 | 0.342 | |
| T2SBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=336, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.345 | |
| MTransformerBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=336, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.352 | |
| Diffusion-TSBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=192, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.355 | |
| Diffusion-TSBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=336, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.358 | |
| Real (Reference)Backbone=TimesNet, Horizon=720, Training Data=100% Real2026.03 | 0.358 | |
| TimeVAEBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=192, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.372 | |
| TimeVAEBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=336, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.375 | |
| MTransformerBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=720, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.375 | |
| Real OnlyBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=192, Training Data=10% Real2026.03 | 0.385 | |
| Real OnlyBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=336, Training Data=10% Real2026.03 | 0.388 | |
| Real (Reference)Backbone=Transformer, Horizon=720, Training Data=100% Real2026.03 | 0.39 | |
| T2SBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=336, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.395 | |
| T2SBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=720, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.398 | |
| MTransformerBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=720, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.408 | |
| Diffusion-TSBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=336, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.412 | |
| Diffusion-TSBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=720, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.412 | |
| TimeVAEBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=336, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.43 | |
| TimeVAEBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=720, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.43 | |
| Real OnlyBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=336, Training Data=10% Real2026.03 | 0.441 | |
| Real OnlyBackbone=TimesNet, Horizon=720, Training Data=10% Real2026.03 | 0.442 | |
| T2SBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=720, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.455 | |
| Diffusion-TSBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=720, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.475 | |
| TimeVAEBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=720, Augmentation=Yes (10% Real + Synthetic)2026.03 | 0.498 | |
| Real OnlyBackbone=Transformer, Horizon=720, Training Data=10% Real2026.03 | 0.512 |