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Voter Turnout Prediction on CCES (Cooperative Congressional Election Study)

-0.03Mean Bound Error (μ)Calibration
-0.0316-0.0208-0.010.0008May 30, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
CalibrationSelection mechanism=linear2026.05-0.0300-0.03-0.03
Naive IPPW of ŨSelection mechanism=linear2026.05-0.0101-0.010
UB (heuristic U*)Selection mechanism=linear2026.05001-0.010
UB (true U*)Selection mechanism=linear2026.050.010.01100.02