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Uncertainty Estimation on MuSiQue

65.6AUROCPredictive Entropy
51.97655.51359.0562.587Jun 11, 2025

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
Predictive EntropyModel=Phi-3.8B2025.0665.629.6—
P(YES) (naive avg)Model=Phi-3.8B2025.0665.529.563.2
Internal ConfidenceModel=Phi-3.8B2025.0665.530.29.3
P(YES) (top right)Model=Phi-3.8B2025.0665.429.89.5
Internal ConfidenceModel=Llama-8B2025.0664.329.874.4
P(YES) (top right)Model=Llama-8B2025.0664.127.374.5
P(YES) (naive avg)Model=Llama-8B2025.0663.231.918.5
Min-K EntropyModel=Phi-3.8B2025.0659.921.9—
P(YES) (naive avg)Model=Qwen-14B2025.0658.416.96.5
P(YES) (top right)Model=Qwen-14B2025.0657.714.422.4
Internal ConfidenceModel=Qwen-14B2025.0657.614.65.4
Attentional EntropyModel=Llama-8B2025.0657.417.7—
Predictive EntropyModel=Llama-8B2025.0656.413.1—
Min-K EntropyModel=Llama-8B2025.065615.2—
PerplexityModel=Phi-3.8B2025.0655.27.1—
Attentional EntropyModel=Qwen-14B2025.0654.913.2—
Attentional EntropyModel=Phi-3.8B2025.0654.711.6—
PerplexityModel=Llama-8B2025.0654.25.9—
Min-K EntropyModel=Qwen-14B2025.0654.12.3—
Predictive EntropyModel=Qwen-14B2025.0653.89.4—
PerplexityModel=Qwen-14B2025.0653.7——
Max(− log p)Model=Phi-3.8B2025.0653.24.7—
Max(− log p)Model=Llama-8B2025.0653.26.3—
Max(− log p)Model=Qwen-14B2025.0652.56.8—