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Traitor win probability estimation on The Traitors Game Small configurations Migdał value based (n <= 11)

100Traitor Win ProbabilityExact RV+C (w‡)
76.18482.36788.5594.733May 11, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
Exact RV+C (w‡)Game parameters (n, m)=(11, 5), Voting Strategy=RV with Collusion (RV+C), Computation Type=Exact Analytical2026.05100
RV+CGame parameters (n, m)=(11, 5), Voting Strategy=RV with Collusion (RV+C), Computation Type=Simulated2026.05100
Exact VL+Opt (w†)Game parameters (n, m)=(11, 5), Voting Strategy=Vote-Left with Optimal Deviation (VL+Opt), Computation Type=Exact Analytical2026.05100
VL+OptGame parameters (n, m)=(11, 5), Voting Strategy=Vote-Left with Optimal Deviation (VL+Opt), Computation Type=Simulated2026.05100
Exact RV+C (w‡)Game parameters (n, m)=(10, 3), Voting Strategy=RV with Collusion (RV+C), Computation Type=Exact Analytical2026.0599.6
RV+CGame parameters (n, m)=(10, 3), Voting Strategy=RV with Collusion (RV+C), Computation Type=Simulated2026.0599.6
Exact RV+C (w‡)Game parameters (n, m)=(9, 3), Voting Strategy=RV with Collusion (RV+C), Computation Type=Exact Analytical2026.0599.5
RV+CGame parameters (n, m)=(9, 3), Voting Strategy=RV with Collusion (RV+C), Computation Type=Simulated2026.0599.5
Exact RV+C (w‡)Game parameters (n, m)=(11, 3), Voting Strategy=RV with Collusion (RV+C), Computation Type=Exact Analytical2026.0598.9
RV+CGame parameters (n, m)=(11, 3), Voting Strategy=RV with Collusion (RV+C), Computation Type=Simulated2026.0598.9
Random Voting (RV)Game parameters (n, m)=(11, 5), Voting Strategy=Random Voting (RV), Computation Type=Simulated2026.0598.9
Exact Migdał value (w)Game parameters (n, m)=(11, 5), Voting Strategy=Random Voting (RV), Computation Type=Exact Analytical2026.0598.8
VL+OptGame parameters (n, m)=(10, 3), Voting Strategy=Vote-Left with Optimal Deviation (VL+Opt), Computation Type=Simulated2026.0598.3
Exact VL+Opt (w†)Game parameters (n, m)=(10, 3), Voting Strategy=Vote-Left with Optimal Deviation (VL+Opt), Computation Type=Exact Analytical2026.0598.2
VL+OptGame parameters (n, m)=(9, 3), Voting Strategy=Vote-Left with Optimal Deviation (VL+Opt), Computation Type=Simulated2026.0596.9
Exact VL+Opt (w†)Game parameters (n, m)=(9, 3), Voting Strategy=Vote-Left with Optimal Deviation (VL+Opt), Computation Type=Exact Analytical2026.0596.8
Exact VL+Opt (w†)Game parameters (n, m)=(8, 2), Voting Strategy=Vote-Left with Optimal Deviation (VL+Opt), Computation Type=Exact Analytical2026.0594.1
VL+OptGame parameters (n, m)=(8, 2), Voting Strategy=Vote-Left with Optimal Deviation (VL+Opt), Computation Type=Simulated2026.0594
Random Voting (RV)Game parameters (n, m)=(10, 3), Voting Strategy=Random Voting (RV), Computation Type=Simulated2026.0593.2
Exact Migdał value (w)Game parameters (n, m)=(10, 3), Voting Strategy=Random Voting (RV), Computation Type=Exact Analytical2026.0593.1
Exact VL+Opt (w†)Game parameters (n, m)=(11, 3), Voting Strategy=Vote-Left with Optimal Deviation (VL+Opt), Computation Type=Exact Analytical2026.0593.1
VL+OptGame parameters (n, m)=(11, 3), Voting Strategy=Vote-Left with Optimal Deviation (VL+Opt), Computation Type=Simulated2026.0593.1
Exact RV+C (w‡)Game parameters (n, m)=(8, 2), Voting Strategy=RV with Collusion (RV+C), Computation Type=Exact Analytical2026.0592
RV+CGame parameters (n, m)=(8, 2), Voting Strategy=RV with Collusion (RV+C), Computation Type=Simulated2026.0592
Exact VL+Opt (w†)Game parameters (n, m)=(7, 2), Voting Strategy=Vote-Left with Optimal Deviation (VL+Opt), Computation Type=Exact Analytical2026.0590.5
VL+OptGame parameters (n, m)=(7, 2), Voting Strategy=Vote-Left with Optimal Deviation (VL+Opt), Computation Type=Simulated2026.0590.4
Exact RV+C (w‡)Game parameters (n, m)=(7, 2), Voting Strategy=RV with Collusion (RV+C), Computation Type=Exact Analytical2026.0589.6
RV+CGame parameters (n, m)=(7, 2), Voting Strategy=RV with Collusion (RV+C), Computation Type=Simulated2026.0589.6
Exact Migdał value (w)Game parameters (n, m)=(9, 3), Voting Strategy=Random Voting (RV), Computation Type=Exact Analytical2026.0588.6
Random Voting (RV)Game parameters (n, m)=(9, 3), Voting Strategy=Random Voting (RV), Computation Type=Simulated2026.0588.6
Random Voting (RV)Game parameters (n, m)=(8, 2), Voting Strategy=Random Voting (RV), Computation Type=Simulated2026.0584.6
Exact Migdał value (w)Game parameters (n, m)=(8, 2), Voting Strategy=Random Voting (RV), Computation Type=Exact Analytical2026.0584.4
Random Voting (RV)Game parameters (n, m)=(11, 3), Voting Strategy=Random Voting (RV), Computation Type=Simulated2026.0583.7
Exact Migdał value (w)Game parameters (n, m)=(11, 3), Voting Strategy=Random Voting (RV), Computation Type=Exact Analytical2026.0583.5
Exact Migdał value (w)Game parameters (n, m)=(7, 2), Voting Strategy=Random Voting (RV), Computation Type=Exact Analytical2026.0577.1
Random Voting (RV)Game parameters (n, m)=(7, 2), Voting Strategy=Random Voting (RV), Computation Type=Simulated2026.0577.1