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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Time Series Forecasting Uncertainty Quantification on GIFT-Eval Bench10

90nWinkUniform
57.7666.1374.582.87May 9, 2026
Updated 5mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
UniformBackbone=ARIMA, Target Coverage=80%2026.05904679
HopCPTBackbone=ARIMA, Target Coverage=80%2026.05904777
ACIBackbone=ARIMA, Target Coverage=80%2026.05844880
KOWCPIBackbone=ARIMA, Target Coverage=80%2026.05843570
ResCPBackbone=ARIMA, Target Coverage=80%2026.05834272
UniformBackbone=TabPFN-TS, Target Coverage=80%2026.05813979
HopCPTBackbone=TabPFN-TS, Target Coverage=80%2026.05814079
UniformBackbone=TimesFM-2.5, Target Coverage=80%2026.05773879
HopCPTBackbone=TimesFM-2.5, Target Coverage=80%2026.05773978
ACIBackbone=TabPFN-TS, Target Coverage=80%2026.05774180
KOWCPIBackbone=TiRex, Target Coverage=80%2026.05742765
KOWCPIBackbone=TimesFM-2.5, Target Coverage=80%2026.05742867
ACIBackbone=TimesFM-2.5, Target Coverage=80%2026.05734080
KOWCPIBackbone=TabPFN-TS, Target Coverage=80%2026.05733070
UniformBackbone=TiRex, Target Coverage=80%2026.05723679
ResCPBackbone=TabPFN-TS, Target Coverage=80%2026.05723772
TotoUQ Type=Foundation model native UQ, Target Coverage=80%2026.05714376
HopCPTBackbone=TiRex, Target Coverage=80%2026.05703878
ResCPBackbone=TimesFM-2.5, Target Coverage=80%2026.05703676
ACIBackbone=TiRex, Target Coverage=80%2026.05693880
ResCPBackbone=TiRex, Target Coverage=80%2026.05683677
RareCPBackbone=ARIMA, Target Coverage=80%2026.05684380
TimesFM-2.5UQ Type=Foundation model native UQ, Target Coverage=80%2026.05664283
TabPFN-TSUQ Type=Foundation model native UQ, Target Coverage=80%2026.05663878
Chronos-2UQ Type=Foundation model native UQ, Target Coverage=80%2026.05643876
RareCPBackbone=TabPFN-TS, Target Coverage=80%2026.05633979
Moirai-2UQ Type=Foundation model native UQ, Target Coverage=80%2026.05634080
RareCPBackbone=TimesFM-2.5, Target Coverage=80%2026.05624080
RareCPBackbone=TiRex, Target Coverage=80%2026.05613880
TiRexUQ Type=Foundation model native UQ, Target Coverage=80%2026.05593980