Time Series Forecasting on Zillow Real Estate
2.87MAPENexus
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| NexusHorizon=Short (hZ = 4), Evaluation Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 2.87 | 41.016 | |
| NexusHorizon=Short (hZ=4, hS=6), Generative Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 2.87 | 41.016 | |
| NexusHorizon=Short (hZ=4, hS=6), Generative Model=Gemini-3.1-Pro2026.05 | 3.26 | 46.1973 | |
| TimesFM-2.5Horizon=Short (hZ = 4), Evaluation Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 3.27 | 46.246 | |
| TimesFM-2.5Horizon=Short (hZ=4, hS=6), Generative Model=Gemini-3.1-Pro2026.05 | 3.27 | 46.246 | |
| TimesFM-2.5Horizon=Short (hZ=4, hS=6), Generative Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 3.27 | 46.246 | |
| NexusHorizon=Average, Evaluation Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 3.3 | 48.6866 | |
| NexusHorizon=Average, Generative Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 3.3 | 48.6866 | |
| NexusHorizon=Medium (hZ = 8), Evaluation Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 3.36 | 49.2264 | |
| NexusHorizon=Medium (hZ=8, hS=13), Generative Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 3.36 | 49.2264 | |
| CoT BaselineHorizon=Short (hZ=4, hS=6), Generative Model=Gemini-3.1-Pro2026.05 | 3.65 | 52.5847 | |
| NexusHorizon=Long (hZ = 13), Evaluation Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 3.66 | 55.8174 | |
| NexusHorizon=Long (hZ=13, hS=26), Generative Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 3.66 | 55.8174 | |
| NexusHorizon=Average, Generative Model=Gemini-3.1-Pro2026.05 | 3.78 | 55.6884 | |
| NexusHorizon=Medium (hZ=8, hS=13), Generative Model=Gemini-3.1-Pro2026.05 | 3.84 | 56.3573 | |
| TimesFM-2.5Horizon=Average, Evaluation Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 3.87 | 55.8383 | |
| TimesFM-2.5Horizon=Average, Generative Model=Gemini-3.1-Pro2026.05 | 3.87 | 55.8383 | |
| TimesFM-2.5Horizon=Average, Generative Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 3.87 | 55.8383 | |
| TimesFM-2.5Horizon=Medium (hZ = 8), Evaluation Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 3.95 | 56.7594 | |
| TimesFM-2.5Horizon=Medium (hZ=8, hS=13), Generative Model=Gemini-3.1-Pro2026.05 | 3.95 | 56.7594 | |
| TimesFM-2.5Horizon=Medium (hZ=8, hS=13), Generative Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 3.95 | 56.7594 | |
| CoT BaselineHorizon=Average, Generative Model=Gemini-3.1-Pro2026.05 | 4.22 | 62.5598 | |
| NexusHorizon=Long (hZ=13, hS=26), Generative Model=Gemini-3.1-Pro2026.05 | 4.23 | 64.5105 | |
| CoT BaselineHorizon=Medium (hZ=8, hS=13), Generative Model=Gemini-3.1-Pro2026.05 | 4.34 | 64.176 | |
| TimesFM-2.5Horizon=Long (hZ = 13), Evaluation Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 4.39 | 64.5095 | |
| TimesFM-2.5Horizon=Long (hZ=13, hS=26), Generative Model=Gemini-3.1-Pro2026.05 | 4.39 | 64.5095 | |
| TimesFM-2.5Horizon=Long (hZ=13, hS=26), Generative Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 4.39 | 64.5095 | |
| CoT BaselineHorizon=Long (hZ=13, hS=26), Generative Model=Gemini-3.1-Pro2026.05 | 4.65 | 70.9186 | |
| CoT BaselineHorizon=Long (hZ = 13), Evaluation Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 15.07 | 235.4701 | |
| CoT BaselineHorizon=Long (hZ=13, hS=26), Generative Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 15.07 | 235.4701 | |
| CoT BaselineHorizon=Average, Evaluation Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 16.63 | 264.3783 | |
| CoT BaselineHorizon=Average, Generative Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 16.63 | 264.3783 | |
| CoT BaselineHorizon=Medium (hZ = 8), Evaluation Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 16.87 | 269.8072 | |
| CoT BaselineHorizon=Medium (hZ=8, hS=13), Generative Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 16.87 | 269.8072 | |
| CoT BaselineHorizon=Short (hZ = 4), Evaluation Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 17.95 | 287.8577 | |
| CoT BaselineHorizon=Short (hZ=4, hS=6), Generative Model=Claude-4.5-Sonnet2026.05 | 17.95 | 287.8577 |