Time Series Forecasting on M5 Competition State Level
0.58M5 Daily (Basic) RMSSEApolloPFN
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ApolloPFNForecaster Type=Zero-shot, Leverages Exogenous Information=true2026.03 | 0.58 | 1.652 | 2.191 | 0.973 | 1.561 | 2.588 | |
| TabPFN-TSForecaster Type=Zero-shot, Leverages Exogenous Information=true2026.03 | 0.608 | 1.253 | 2.58 | 1.006 | 1.666 | 2.636 | |
| Chronos-LargeForecaster Type=Zero-shot univariate, Leverages Exogenous Information=false2026.03 | 0.655 | 1.237 | 2.484 | 1.007 | 1.847 | 2.788 | |
| Sundial-BaseForecaster Type=Zero-shot univariate, Leverages Exogenous Information=false2026.03 | 0.72 | 2.01 | 2.405 | 0.933 | 1.649 | 2.841 | |
| Moirai-LargeForecaster Type=Exposed during training, Leverages Exogenous Information=true2026.03 | 0.844 | 1.669 | 3.546 | 0.992 | 1.71 | 2.882 |