Time Series Forecasting on M4 Hourly (SMAPE, MASE, OWA)
1.004Median MASECatBoost
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CatBoost2026.05 | 1.004 | — | — | — | |
| PR2026.05 | 1.01 | — | — | — | |
| Adaptive MoE2026.05 | 1.058 | — | — | — | |
| DeepAR2026.05 | 1.189 | — | — | — | |
| WaveNet2026.05 | 1.196 | — | — | — | |
| Transformer2026.05 | 1.335 | — | — | — | |
| FFNN2026.05 | 1.427 | — | — | — | |
| N-BEATS2026.05 | 1.442 | — | — | — | |
| TBATS2026.05 | 1.879 | — | — | — | |
| ARIMA2026.05 | 2.425 | — | — | — | |
| SES2026.05 | 3.685 | — | — | — | |
| Theta2026.05 | 3.688 | — | — | — | |
| ETS2026.05 | 5.792 | — | — | — | |
| AR-KANHyperparameter search=grid search2025.09 | — | 12.46 | 0.78 | 0.901 | |
| ARIMAHyperparameter search=grid search2025.09 | — | 15.17 | 1.259 | 1.273 | |
| CATS2025.08 | — | 20.374 | 3.834 | 1.525 | |
| CycleNet/Linear2025.08 | — | 21.361 | 3.392 | 1.289 | |
| CycleNet/MLP2025.08 | — | 18.335 | 2.939 | 1.168 | |
| FANHyperparameter search=grid search2025.09 | — | 13.93 | 0.907 | 0.94 | |
| LSTMHyperparameter search=grid search2025.09 | — | 10.84 | 0.953 | 0.986 | |
| PatchTST2025.08 | — | 21.734 | 4.065 | 1.439 | |
| PENGUIN2025.08 | — | 18.802 | 2.769 | 1.09 | |
| TCNHyperparameter search=grid search2025.09 | — | 11.07 | 1.28 | 1.247 | |
| Time-LLMHyperparameter search=grid search2025.09 | — | 12.14 | 0.845 | 0.937 | |
| TimesNetHyperparameter search=grid search2025.09 | — | 11.59 | 0.86 | 0.904 |