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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Time-series forecasting on Illness

0.18MSEMOMENT
-0.285762.858126.0029.14588Nov 3, 2023Mar 5, 2024Jul 6, 2024Nov 6, 2024Mar 9, 2025Jul 10, 2025Nov 10, 2025
Updated 7mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
MOMENTStrategy=Top-50%2025.110.180.152
MOMENTStrategy=Full-data2025.110.1820.157
MOMENTStrategy=Bottom-50%2025.110.190.167
MOMENTStrategy=Pre-trained2025.110.2210.191
FEDformerData Budget=5002023.110.707—
AutoformerData Budget=5002023.110.737—
Time-MoEStrategy=Top-50%2025.110.8510.728
Time-MoEStrategy=Bottom-50%2025.110.8630.741
Time-MoEStrategy=Full-data2025.110.9050.772
Time-MoEStrategy=Pre-trained2025.110.9240.707
ShapleyDownstream Model=PAttn2025.110.9650.806
InfluenceDownstream Model=PAttn2025.111.0250.841
LTSV (Top strategy)Downstream Model=PAttn2025.111.0360.858
ShapleyDownstream Model=PatchTST2025.111.0570.844
LastData Budget=502023.111.077—
LastData Budget=5002023.111.077—
ForecastPFNData Budget=502023.111.091—
MeanData Budget=502023.111.091—
ForecastPFNData Budget=5002023.111.091—
MeanData Budget=5002023.111.091—
InfluenceDownstream Model=PatchTST2025.111.0990.861
LTSV (Top strategy)Downstream Model=PatchTST2025.111.1030.873
FEDformerData Budget=502023.111.24—
Meta-N-BEATSData Budget=502023.111.301—
Meta-N-BEATSData Budget=5002023.111.301—
RandomDownstream Model=PAttn2025.111.351.057
AutoformerData Budget=502023.111.353—
Time-LLMStrategy=Top-50%2025.111.4030.931
SeasonalNaiveData Budget=502023.111.41—
SeasonalNaiveData Budget=5002023.111.41—
Time-LLMStrategy=Bottom-50%2025.111.430.949
Time-LLMStrategy=Full-data2025.111.4390.932
Time-LLMStrategy=Pre-trained2025.111.4920.985
RandomDownstream Model=PatchTST2025.111.531.05
ShapleyDownstream Model=DLinear2025.111.6031.102
LTSV (Top strategy)Downstream Model=DLinear2025.111.6681.13
InfluenceDownstream Model=DLinear2025.111.7181.142
LTSV (Bottom strategy)Downstream Model=PatchTST2025.111.9581.214
LTSV (Bottom strategy)Downstream Model=PAttn2025.111.9741.201
RandomDownstream Model=DLinear2025.111.9821.259
DiPE-LinearPrediction Length=602024.112.0530.957
DiPE-LinearPrediction Length=362024.112.1620.94
NlinearPrediction Length=482024.112.1770.97
RLinearPrediction Length=602024.112.1830.952
DiPE-LinearPrediction Length=482024.112.1840.956
RLinearPrediction Length=362024.112.2130.943
NlinearPrediction Length=602024.112.2160.985
NlinearPrediction Length=362024.112.2210.964
FITSPrediction Length=602024.112.2210.996
RLinearPrediction Length=242024.112.2580.93
DiPE-LinearPrediction Length=242024.112.260.951
FITSPrediction Length=482024.112.2660.992
NlinearPrediction Length=242024.112.2880.962
FITSPrediction Length=242024.112.2890.975
FITSPrediction Length=362024.112.2920.986
RLinearPrediction Length=482024.112.3090.979
DLinearPrediction Length=242024.112.4671.079
DLinearPrediction Length=362024.112.511.089
DLinearPrediction Length=482024.112.511.092
DLinearPrediction Length=602024.112.5991.121
LTSV (Bottom strategy)Downstream Model=DLinear2025.112.8951.496
ProphetData Budget=5002023.113.462—
TransformerData Budget=5002023.113.482—
TransformerData Budget=502023.114.32—
InformerData Budget=5002023.114.394—
ArimaData Budget=5002023.114.848—
ArimaData Budget=502023.115.045—
InformerData Budget=502023.118.584—
ProphetData Budget=502023.1111.824—