Time Series Forecasting on ILI
0.42MAELSTPrompt
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSTPromptProtocol=Zero-Shot (Prompt), Frequency=Week, Horizon=42024.02 | 0.42 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTProtocol=Supervised, Frequency=Week, Horizon=42024.02 | 0.51 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTProtocol=Supervised, Frequency=Week, Horizon=122024.02 | 0.52 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ShifTSModel=Crossformer, Horizon=242025.10 | 0.59 | 0.674 | — | — | — | — | |
| ShifTSModel=PatchTST, Horizon=362025.10 | 0.602 | 0.694 | — | — | — | — | |
| LLMTimeProtocol=Zero-Shot (Prompt), Frequency=Week, Horizon=42024.02 | 0.61 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ShifTSModel=Crossformer, Horizon=482025.10 | 0.611 | 0.652 | — | — | — | — | |
| ShifTSBackbone=Crossformer, Method Category=Combined Method2025.10 | 0.613 | 0.668 | — | — | — | — | |
| ShifTSModel=Crossformer, Horizon=362025.10 | 0.617 | 0.687 | — | — | — | — | |
| ShifTSModel=PatchTST, Horizon=242025.10 | 0.618 | 0.656 | — | — | — | — | |
| ShifTSModel=PatchTST, Horizon=482025.10 | 0.63 | 0.654 | — | — | — | — | |
| ShifTSModel=Crossformer, Horizon=602025.10 | 0.633 | 0.658 | — | — | — | — | |
| ERMModel=PatchTST, Horizon=242025.10 | 0.634 | 0.772 | — | — | — | — | |
| ShifTSModel=iTransformer, Horizon=362025.10 | 0.64 | 0.69 | — | — | — | — | |
| ShifTSModel=iTransformer, Horizon=242025.10 | 0.642 | 0.799 | — | — | — | — | |
| ERMModel=PatchTST, Horizon=362025.10 | 0.649 | 0.763 | — | — | — | — | |
| FOILBackbone=Crossformer, Method Category=Combined Method2025.10 | 0.651 | 0.735 | — | — | — | — | |
| ERMModel=iTransformer, Horizon=242025.10 | 0.653 | 0.824 | — | — | — | — | |
| ShifTSModel=PatchTST, Horizon=602025.10 | 0.656 | 0.68 | — | — | — | — | |
| ShifTSModel=iTransformer, Horizon=482025.10 | 0.665 | 0.68 | — | — | — | — | |
| ShifTSModel=iTransformer, Horizon=602025.10 | 0.667 | 0.672 | — | — | — | — | |
| LSTPromptProtocol=Zero-Shot (Prompt), Frequency=Week, Horizon=122024.02 | 0.67 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| N-S Trans.Backbone=Crossformer, Method Category=Temporal Shift Method2025.10 | 0.688 | 0.781 | — | — | — | — | |
| ERMModel=PatchTST, Horizon=482025.10 | 0.692 | 0.753 | — | — | — | — | |
| ERMModel=iTransformer, Horizon=482025.10 | 0.699 | 0.772 | — | — | — | — | |
| EIIL+RevINBackbone=Crossformer, Method Category=Combined Method2025.10 | 0.706 | 0.799 | — | — | — | — | |
| RevINBackbone=Crossformer, Method Category=Temporal Shift Method2025.10 | 0.708 | 0.815 | — | — | — | — | |
| ERMModel=iTransformer, Horizon=602025.10 | 0.71 | 0.729 | — | — | — | — | |
| IRM+RevINBackbone=Crossformer, Method Category=Combined Method2025.10 | 0.711 | 0.809 | — | — | — | — | |
| SANBackbone=Crossformer, Method Category=Temporal Shift Method2025.10 | 0.715 | 0.757 | — | — | — | — | |
| FRWKV+Horizon=242026.05 | 0.721 | 1.432 | — | — | — | — | |
| ERMModel=PatchTST, Horizon=602025.10 | 0.724 | 0.761 | — | — | — | — | |
| FRWKV+Horizon=Avg2026.05 | 0.735 | 1.48 | — | — | — | — | |
| ERMModel=iTransformer, Horizon=362025.10 | 0.738 | 0.917 | — | — | — | — | |
| T3TimeLMHorizon=242026.05 | 0.802 | 1.583 | — | — | — | — | |
| LLMTimeProtocol=Zero-Shot (Prompt), Frequency=Week, Horizon=122024.02 | 0.81 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| LPTMProtocol=Supervised, Frequency=Week, Horizon=122024.02 | 0.83 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Non-stationary TransformerPrediction Length=362022.05 | 0.848 | 1.825 | — | — | — | — | |
| Proximal Score-based VIvariational_family=Gaussian2026.02 | 0.8862 | 2.0764 | — | 1.7891 | — | — | |
| Non-stationary TransformerPrediction Length=482022.05 | 0.9 | 2.01 | — | — | — | — | |
| RWKV-TSLAHorizon=242026.05 | 0.916 | 2.036 | — | — | — | — | |
| Koopavariant=Vanilla2026.02 | 0.918 | 2.2084 | — | — | — | — | |
| ADVIvariational_family=Gaussian2026.02 | 0.9299 | 2.2233 | — | 1.8258 | — | — | |
| Non-stationary TransformerPrediction Length=242022.05 | 0.945 | 2.294 | — | — | — | — | |
| Non-stationary TransformerPrediction Length=602022.05 | 0.963 | 2.178 | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeFilter2026.05 | 0.978 | 2.438 | — | — | — | — | |
| NsDiff2025.05 | 0.985 | 2.846 | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeCMALMHorizon=242026.05 | 0.998 | 1.996 | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeLLMLMHorizon=242026.05 | 1.004 | 2.383 | — | — | — | — | |
| UEC-STDBackbone=TimeMixer, Correction Strategy=UEC-STD2026.05 | 1.0298 | 2.6551 | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeMixerBackbone=TimeMixer, Correction Strategy=None2026.05 | 1.0306 | 2.5807 | — | — | — | — | |
| UEC-STDBackbone=TimesNet, Correction Strategy=UEC-STD2026.05 | 1.0397 | 2.9353 | — | — | — | — | |
| STNP2026.05 | 1.04 | 3.08 | — | — | — | — | |
| STNP2026.05 | 1.04 | 3.08 | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformer2026.05 | 1.069 | 3.163 | — | — | — | — | |
| WPMixer2026.05 | 1.069 | 3.096 | — | — | — | — | |
| S-D-MambaLAHorizon=242026.05 | 1.074 | 2.675 | — | — | — | — | |
| FEDformerPrediction Length=482022.05 | 1.078 | 2.622 | — | — | — | — | |
| FEDformerPrediction Length=362022.05 | 1.08 | 2.679 | — | — | — | — | |
| SEMixerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 1.08 | 2.385 | — | — | — | — | |
| TimesNetBackbone=TimesNet, Correction Strategy=None2026.05 | 1.0858 | 3.0985 | — | — | — | — | |
| DPRNet2026.05 | 1.088 | 2.963 | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTST2026.05 | 1.11 | 3.321 | — | — | — | — | |
| ItransformerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 1.111 | 2.585 | — | — | — | — | |
| PathformerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 1.145 | 2.752 | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeMixerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 1.145 | 2.752 | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeMixer2026.05 | 1.148 | 3.182 | — | — | — | — | |
| FEDformerPrediction Length=602022.05 | 1.157 | 2.857 | — | — | — | — | |
| EIILBackbone=Crossformer, Method Category=Concept Drift Method2025.10 | 1.159 | 2.036 | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeXerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 1.161 | 2.758 | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 1.161 | 2.758 | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeDiff2025.05 | 1.169 | 3.958 | — | — | — | — | |
| AutoformerProtocol=Supervised, Frequency=Week, Horizon=42024.02 | 1.17 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Deform.TSTAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 1.174 | 2.799 | — | — | — | — | |
| TSMixerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 1.174 | 2.799 | — | — | — | — | |
| TMDM2025.05 | 1.175 | 3.636 | — | — | — | — | |
| ModernTCNAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 1.2 | 2.898 | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 1.2 | 2.898 | — | — | — | — | |
| IRMBackbone=Crossformer, Method Category=Concept Drift Method2025.10 | 1.237 | 2.248 | — | — | — | — | |
| TimesNetAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 1.258 | 3.597 | — | — | — | — | |
| FEDformerPrediction Length=242022.05 | 1.26 | 3.228 | — | — | — | — | |
| FEDformer2026.05 | 1.26 | 3.228 | — | — | — | — | |
| CNP2026.05 | 1.27 | 3.898 | — | — | — | — | |
| ConvCNP2026.05 | 1.272 | 3.955 | — | — | — | — | |
| NP2026.05 | 1.276 | 3.794 | — | — | — | — | |
| SConvCNP2026.05 | 1.281 | 3.733 | — | — | — | — | |
| VRExBackbone=Crossformer, Method Category=Concept Drift Method2025.10 | 1.286 | 2.285 | — | — | — | — | |
| GroupDROBackbone=Crossformer, Method Category=Concept Drift Method2025.10 | 1.287 | 2.285 | — | — | — | — | |
| Autoformer2026.05 | 1.287 | 3.483 | — | — | — | — | |
| FedFormerProtocol=Supervised, Frequency=Week, Horizon=242024.02 | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimesNet2026.05 | 1.309 | 6.021 | — | — | — | — | |
| BNP2026.05 | 1.337 | 4.021 | — | — | — | — | |
| BANP2026.05 | 1.351 | 4.02 | — | — | — | — | |
| Reformer2026.05 | 1.382 | 4.4 | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTProtocol=Supervised, Frequency=Week, Horizon=202024.02 | 1.39 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ANP2026.05 | 1.395 | 3.885 | — | — | — | — | |
| CANP2026.05 | 1.396 | 4.314 | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeGrad2025.05 | 1.414 | 4.197 | — | — | — | — | |
| LSSLPrediction Length=362022.05 | 1.416 | 4.442 | — | — | — | — | |
| LSSLPrediction Length=242022.05 | 1.425 | 4.381 | — | — | — | — |