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Time Series Forecasting on fev-bench

91.7Average Win RateChronos-2
4.96427.4825072.518Mar 23, 2026Mar 31, 2026Apr 9, 2026Apr 17, 2026Apr 26, 2026May 4, 2026May 13, 2026
Updated 5mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
Chronos-2Runtime (s)=0.8, Leak. (%)=0, # fails=02026.0591.747.3
TiRexRuntime (s)=0.2, Leak. (%)=1, # fails=02026.0583.442.6
iAmTimeMedian runtime (s)=4.8, Leakage (%)=0, protocol=Zero-shot2026.0381.351.9
Chronos-2Median runtime (s)=2.7, Leakage (%)=02026.0379.751.5
TimesFM-2.5Runtime (s)=1.9, Leak. (%)=10, # fails=02026.0578.642.2
TabPFN-TS-3Runtime (s)=234.6, Leak. (%)=0, # fails=02026.0573.643.1
Toto-1.0Runtime (s)=22.1, Leak. (%)=8, # fails=02026.0571.640.7
TimesFM-2.5Median runtime (s)=16.9, Leakage (%)=102026.036950.8
TiRexMedian runtime (s)=1.4, Leakage (%)=12026.0366.246.7
Moirai-2.0Runtime (s)=0.3, Leak. (%)=28, # fails=02026.0566.239.3
Chronos-BoltRuntime (s)=0.2, Leak. (%)=0, # fails=02026.0566.238.9
TabPFN-v2-TSRuntime (s)=88.9, Leak. (%)=0, # fails=22026.0564.139.6
Toto-1.0Median runtime (s)=90.7, Leakage (%)=82026.0357.345.3
TabICL-v2Runtime (s)=64.7, Leak. (%)=0, # fails=02026.0553.830.8
TabPFN-TSMedian runtime (s)=305.5, Leakage (%)=02026.0352.445.8
Moirai-2.0Median runtime (s)=2.5, Leakage (%)=282026.0350.944.9
Sundial-BaseRuntime (s)=8.0, Leak. (%)=1, # fails=02026.0547.133.4
Chronos-Bolt BaseMedian runtime (s)=1.0, Leakage (%)=02026.0345.243.2
Stat. EnsembleRuntime (s)=148.6, Leak. (%)=0, # fails=112026.0543.820.2
Stat. EnsembleMedian runtime (s)=690.6, Leakage (%)=02026.0328.321.8
AutoARIMAMedian runtime (s)=186.8, Leakage (%)=02026.0325.423.4
AutoETSMedian runtime (s)=17.0, Leakage (%)=02026.0319.1-27
Seasonal NaiveRuntime (s)=0.5, Leak. (%)=0, # fails=02026.0519.10
AutoThetaMedian runtime (s)=9.3, Leakage (%)=02026.0313.37.8
Seasonal NaiveMedian runtime (s)=2.3, Leakage (%)=02026.038.30