Time Series Forecasting on ETTm1 (MSE, MAE, WD)
0.347MAESpecReTF
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpecReTFHorizon=962026.06 | 0.347 | — | — | |
| RAFTHorizon=962026.06 | 0.348 | — | — | |
| DLinearHorizon=962026.06 | 0.349 | — | — | |
| SpecReTFHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.363 | — | — | |
| RAFTHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.366 | — | — | |
| SpecReTFHorizon=Avg2026.06 | 0.374 | — | — | |
| DLinearHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.374 | — | — | |
| RAFTHorizon=Avg2026.06 | 0.377 | — | — | |
| SpecReTFHorizon=3362026.06 | 0.381 | — | — | |
| RAFTHorizon=3822026.06 | 0.382 | — | — | |
| DLinearHorizon=Avg2026.06 | 0.384 | — | — | |
| MICNHorizon=962026.06 | 0.386 | — | — | |
| TimesNetHorizon=962026.06 | 0.387 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTHorizon=962026.06 | 0.397 | — | — | |
| DLinearHorizon=3362026.06 | 0.397 | — | — | |
| StationaryHorizon=962026.06 | 0.397 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.398 | — | — | |
| TimesNetHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.399 | — | — | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Drift)2026.04 | 0.4 | — | — | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Lag)2026.04 | 0.406 | — | — | |
| MICNHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.407 | — | — | |
| SpecReTFHorizon=7202026.06 | 0.408 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTHorizon=3362026.06 | 0.41 | — | — | |
| RAFTHorizon=7202026.06 | 0.412 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTHorizon=Avg2026.06 | 0.414 | — | — | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Regime Shift)2026.04 | 0.418 | — | — | |
| TimesNetHorizon=Avg2026.06 | 0.419 | — | — | |
| DLinearHorizon=7202026.06 | 0.419 | — | — | |
| MICNHorizon=Avg2026.06 | 0.421 | — | — | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Combined)2026.04 | 0.422 | — | — | |
| FEDformerHorizon=962026.06 | 0.422 | — | — | |
| TimesNetHorizon=3362026.06 | 0.425 | — | — | |
| MICNHorizon=3362026.06 | 0.43 | — | — | |
| StationaryHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.443 | — | — | |
| FEDformerHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.444 | — | — | |
| FEDformerHorizon=3362026.06 | 0.447 | — | — | |
| FEDformerHorizon=Avg2026.06 | 0.451 | — | — | |
| Chronos-2Backbone=Chronos-2, Protocol=Baseline (pretrained checkpoint)2026.04 | 0.452 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTHorizon=7202026.06 | 0.452 | — | — | |
| StationaryHorizon=Avg2026.06 | 0.454 | — | — | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Combined)2026.04 | 0.458 | — | — | |
| MICNHorizon=7202026.06 | 0.461 | — | — | |
| StationaryHorizon=3362026.06 | 0.463 | — | — | |
| TimesNetHorizon=7202026.06 | 0.465 | — | — | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Combined)2026.04 | 0.476 | — | — | |
| AutoformerHorizon=962026.06 | 0.478 | — | — | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Baseline pretrained on KS + LMC2026.04 | 0.483 | — | — | |
| FEDformerHorizon=7202026.06 | 0.491 | — | — | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Regime Shift)2026.04 | 0.492 | — | — | |
| AutoformerHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.493 | — | — | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Drift)2026.04 | 0.496 | — | — | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Regime Shift)2026.04 | 0.513 | — | — | |
| StationaryHorizon=7202026.06 | 0.515 | — | — | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Drift)2026.04 | 0.518 | — | — | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Lag)2026.04 | 0.524 | — | — | |
| TimePFNBackbone=TimePFN, Protocol=Fine-tuned (KS + LMC + DynLMC - Lag)2026.04 | 0.529 | — | — | |
| AutoformerHorizon=Avg2026.06 | 0.533 | — | — | |
| Naïve MeanModel Category=Naïve Predictions2026.04 | 0.548 | — | — | |
| AutoformerHorizon=3362026.06 | 0.559 | — | — | |
| InformerHorizon=962026.06 | 0.559 | — | — | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Protocol=Baseline pretrained on KS + LMC2026.04 | 0.563 | — | — | |
| AutoformerHorizon=7202026.06 | 0.602 | — | — | |
| Naïve LastModel Category=Naïve Predictions2026.04 | 0.665 | — | — | |
| Seasonal NaïveModel Category=Naïve Predictions2026.04 | 0.674 | — | — | |
| InformerHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.805 | — | — | |
| InformerHorizon=Avg2026.06 | 0.821 | — | — | |
| InformerHorizon=3362026.06 | 0.932 | — | — | |
| InformerHorizon=7202026.06 | 0.988 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTInput length=336, Prediction horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202025.05 | 1.37 | 5.36 | 2.44 | |
| TimeMixerInput length=336, Prediction horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202025.05 | 1.39 | 5.27 | 2.6 | |
| DLinearInput length=336, Prediction horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202025.05 | 1.39 | 6.31 | 3.65 | |
| FERNInput length=336, Prediction horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202025.05 | 1.45 | 5.8 | 2.85 |