Time Series Forecasting on ETTm1 (MSE, MAE)
0.359MAEChronos-2
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Chronos-2Params=120M, Zero-shot=true2026.02 | 0.359 | — | |
| TiRexParams=30M, Zero-shot=true2026.02 | 0.365 | — | |
| ReversoParams=2.6M, Zero-shot=true2026.02 | 0.367 | — | |
| Sundial-LParams=444M, Zero-shot=true2026.02 | 0.369 | — | |
| SEMixerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.375 | 0.342 | |
| Reverso-SmallParams=550K, Zero-shot=true2026.02 | 0.376 | — | |
| Mixer++H=Avg2025.12 | 0.378 | 0.369 | |
| TSMixerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.378 | 0.348 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=Avg2024.06 | 0.38 | 0.351 | |
| DLinearAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.38 | 0.35 | |
| Time-MoE_baseProtocol=full-shot2026.03 | 0.381 | 0.345 | |
| Reverso-NanoParams=200K, Zero-shot=true2026.02 | 0.382 | — | |
| TimePerceiverInput length L=96, Prediction lengths H={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.12 | 0.383 | 0.362 | |
| Deform.TSTAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.383 | 0.351 | |
| TimeMixerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.383 | 0.352 | |
| PatchTSTAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.384 | 0.347 | |
| TimeSqueeze_baseProtocol=full-shot2026.03 | 0.386 | 0.383 | |
| SAMH=Avg2025.12 | 0.388 | 0.373 | |
| xLSTM-MixerInput length L=96, Prediction lengths H={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.12 | 0.389 | 0.386 | |
| Super-LinearParams=2.6M, Zero-shot=true2026.02 | 0.389 | — | |
| ModernTCNAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.39 | 0.36 | |
| PathformerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.39 | 0.365 | |
| Timer-XLParams=85M, Zero-shot=true2026.02 | 0.392 | — | |
| TQNetProtocol=full-shot2026.03 | 0.393 | 0.377 | |
| PatchTSTTraining=Full-data2026.01 | 0.395 | 0.381 | |
| TimeKANH=Avg2025.12 | 0.395 | 0.377 | |
| TimeXerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.395 | 0.366 | |
| TimeMixerProtocol=full-shot2026.03 | 0.395 | 0.381 | |
| ItransformerAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.396 | 0.362 | |
| CycleNetMLPProtocol=full-shot2026.03 | 0.396 | 0.379 | |
| GPT4TSTraining=Full-data2026.01 | 0.397 | 0.389 | |
| SageFormerInput length L=96, Prediction lengths H={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.12 | 0.4 | 0.388 | |
| PatchTSTProtocol=full-shot2026.03 | 0.4 | 0.387 | |
| LTSM-DIFFTraining=Full-data2026.01 | 0.402 | 0.403 | |
| CALFTraining=Full-data2026.01 | 0.404 | 0.409 | |
| CrossGNNInput length L=96, Prediction lengths H={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.12 | 0.404 | 0.393 | |
| TwinsH=Avg2025.12 | 0.404 | 0.393 | |
| TimesNetAveraged horizons=96, 192, 336, 720 steps2026.02 | 0.404 | 0.392 | |
| SegRNNInput length L=96, Prediction lengths H={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.12 | 0.405 | 0.388 | |
| TimesNetProtocol=full-shot2026.03 | 0.405 | 0.4 | |
| TimeLLMTraining=Full-data2026.01 | 0.409 | 0.41 | |
| iTransformerProtocol=full-shot2026.03 | 0.409 | 0.407 | |
| iTransH=Avg2025.12 | 0.41 | 0.407 | |
| iTransformerTraining=Full-data2026.01 | 0.411 | 0.407 | |
| MSGNetInput length L=96, Prediction lengths H={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.12 | 0.411 | 0.398 | |
| PatchTSTH=Avg2025.12 | 0.412 | 0.391 | |
| DLinearH=Avg2025.12 | 0.412 | 0.4 | |
| LTSM-BundlePrediction Length=Avg2024.06 | 0.416 | 0.362 | |
| SEMixerInput length=25602026.02 | 0.43 | 0.425 | |
| IdealTSFH=Avg2025.12 | 0.431 | 0.409 | |
| TSMixerInput length=25602026.02 | 0.442 | 0.431 | |
| FSMLPPrediction Length=9602024.12 | 0.448 | 0.478 | |
| DLinearInput length=25602026.02 | 0.449 | 0.428 | |
| Deform.TSTInput length=25602026.02 | 0.45 | 0.448 | |
| PatchTSTInput length=25602026.02 | 0.452 | 0.447 | |
| ScaleformerInput length=25602026.02 | 0.453 | 0.443 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=9602024.12 | 0.458 | 0.494 | |
| FSMLPPrediction Length=14402024.12 | 0.465 | 0.505 | |
| TimeXerInput length=25602026.02 | 0.466 | 0.454 | |
| ModernTCNInput length=25602026.02 | 0.466 | 0.463 | |
| FSMLPPrediction Length=21602024.12 | 0.469 | 0.511 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=14402024.12 | 0.479 | 0.525 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=21602024.12 | 0.483 | 0.532 | |
| ItransformerInput length=25602026.02 | 0.485 | 0.489 | |
| TimeMixerInput length=25602026.02 | 0.49 | 0.506 | |
| DLinearProtocol=full-shot2026.03 | 0.495 | 0.513 | |
| CrossformerTraining=Full-data2026.01 | 0.502 | 0.502 | |
| FreTSPrediction Length=9602024.12 | 0.504 | 0.54 | |
| FreTSPrediction Length=14402024.12 | 0.537 | 0.592 | |
| FreTSPrediction Length=21602024.12 | 0.569 | 0.635 | |
| TSMixerPrediction Length=9602024.12 | 0.605 | 0.684 | |
| TSMixerPrediction Length=14402024.12 | 0.65 | 0.755 | |
| ReformerPrediction Length=Avg2024.06 | 0.671 | 0.799 | |
| TSMixerPrediction Length=21602024.12 | 0.691 | 0.819 | |
| Cast-R12026.02 | 1.16 | 3.465 | |
| ConvTimeNet2026.02 | 1.252 | 6.358 | |
| Chronos-22026.02 | 1.323 | 4.414 | |
| PatchTST2026.02 | 1.397 | 5.838 | |
| iTransformer2026.02 | 1.46 | 5.771 | |
| TimeLLM2026.02 | 1.668 | 5.137 | |
| TimesFM2026.02 | 2.012 | 5.996 | |
| DLinear2026.02 | 2.372 | 5.525 | |
| ARIMA2026.02 | 2.513 | 9.898 | |
| TimeReasoner2026.02 | 2.552 | 6.864 | |
| TimeXer2026.02 | 2.554 | 4.387 | |
| OFA2026.02 | 2.771 | 10.024 | |
| Prophet2026.02 | 3.554 | 12.225 |