Time Series Forecasting on ETTh1 (MSE)
0.367MSETTMs-SFF
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |
|---|---|---|
| TTMs-SFFBackbone=TTMs, Fine-tuning Protocol=SFF, Prediction Length=962026.06 | 0.367 | |
| Sundial-SFFBackbone=Sundial, Fine-tuning Protocol=SFF, Prediction Length=962026.06 | 0.368 | |
| TTMs-FFBackbone=TTMs, Fine-tuning Protocol=FF, Prediction Length=962026.06 | 0.371 | |
| Sundial-FFBackbone=Sundial, Fine-tuning Protocol=FF, Prediction Length=962026.06 | 0.372 | |
| SFFBackbone=MOMENT, Data proportion=100%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.3757 | |
| TFSBackbone=MOMENT, Data proportion=100%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.387 | |
| FFBackbone=MOMENT, Data proportion=100%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.3951 | |
| SFFBackbone=TimesFM, Data proportion=25%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.3955 | |
| FedTRLProtocol=Zero-shot, Aggregation=Average over {96, 192, 336, 720}2026.04 | 0.399 | |
| Sundial (94B)Protocol=Zero-shot, Aggregation=Average over {96, 192, 336, 720}2026.04 | 0.402 | |
| Sundial (230B)Protocol=Zero-shot, Aggregation=Average over {96, 192, 336, 720}2026.04 | 0.403 | |
| SFFBackbone=TimesFM, Data proportion=100%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.406 | |
| Sundial (1032B)Protocol=Zero-shot, Aggregation=Average over {96, 192, 336, 720}2026.04 | 0.411 | |
| VisionTSProtocol=Zero-shot, Aggregation=Average over {96, 192, 336, 720}2026.04 | 0.412 | |
| SpecReTFlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | 0.415 | |
| TTMsBackbone=TTMs, Fine-tuning Protocol=Smoothed Full Fine-tuning, Prediction Length=7202026.06 | 0.421 | |
| RAFTlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | 0.422 | |
| TTMsBackbone=TTMs, Fine-tuning Protocol=Full Fine-tuning, Prediction Length=7202026.06 | 0.424 | |
| FACBackbone=PatchTST, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4241 | |
| PETSABackbone=PatchTST, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4255 | |
| DLinearlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | 0.426 | |
| TAFASBackbone=PatchTST, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.427 | |
| SFFBackbone=MOMENT, Data proportion=25%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.4287 | |
| BaseBackbone=PatchTST, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4324 | |
| FACBackbone=FreTS, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4357 | |
| TFSBackbone=TimesFM, Data proportion=100%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.4358 | |
| FACBackbone=OLS, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4382 | |
| FFBackbone=TimesFM, Data proportion=25%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.4382 | |
| PETSABackbone=FreTS, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4383 | |
| TAFASBackbone=FreTS, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4391 | |
| PETSABackbone=iTransformer, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4394 | |
| FACBackbone=iTransformer, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.44 | |
| TAFASBackbone=iTransformer, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4421 | |
| TAFASBackbone=OLS, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4428 | |
| PETSABackbone=OLS, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4449 | |
| FFBackbone=MOMENT, Data proportion=25%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.4454 | |
| BaseBackbone=FreTS, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4461 | |
| MOIRAI-SFFBackbone=MOIRAI, Fine-tuning Protocol=SFF, Prediction Length=962026.06 | 0.448 | |
| BaseBackbone=iTransformer, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4482 | |
| BaseBackbone=OLS, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.451 | |
| TFSBackbone=MOMENT, Data proportion=25%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.454 | |
| FACBackbone=DLinear, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4554 | |
| PETSABackbone=DLinear, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4613 | |
| TAFASBackbone=DLinear, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4617 | |
| TFSBackbone=TimesFM, Data proportion=25%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.4638 | |
| BaseBackbone=DLinear, Horizon=96, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4695 | |
| FACBackbone=PatchTST, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4797 | |
| TAFASBackbone=PatchTST, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4818 | |
| PETSABackbone=PatchTST, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4818 | |
| SundialBackbone=Sundial, Fine-tuning Protocol=Smoothed Full Fine-tuning, Prediction Length=7202026.06 | 0.485 | |
| BaseBackbone=PatchTST, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.49 | |
| SundialBackbone=Sundial, Fine-tuning Protocol=Full Fine-tuning, Prediction Length=7202026.06 | 0.49 | |
| FACBackbone=OLS, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4921 | |
| TAFASBackbone=OLS, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4929 | |
| FACBackbone=FreTS, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4934 | |
| TAFASBackbone=FreTS, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.4943 | |
| PETSABackbone=FreTS, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.496 | |
| PatchTSTlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | 0.499 | |
| PETSABackbone=OLS, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5007 | |
| FACBackbone=iTransformer, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.501 | |
| MOIRAI-FFBackbone=MOIRAI, Fine-tuning Protocol=FF, Prediction Length=962026.06 | 0.501 | |
| PETSABackbone=iTransformer, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5014 | |
| TAFASBackbone=iTransformer, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.502 | |
| BaseBackbone=FreTS, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5022 | |
| BaseBackbone=OLS, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5045 | |
| FACBackbone=DLinear, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5089 | |
| BaseBackbone=iTransformer, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5091 | |
| FFBackbone=TimesFM, Data proportion=100%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.5101 | |
| TAFASBackbone=DLinear, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5112 | |
| PETSABackbone=DLinear, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5123 | |
| MICNlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | 0.52 | |
| BaseBackbone=DLinear, Horizon=192, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5213 | |
| FEDformerlookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | 0.527 | |
| FACBackbone=OLS, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5422 | |
| TAFASBackbone=OLS, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5427 | |
| TAFASBackbone=FreTS, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5483 | |
| PETSABackbone=OLS, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5488 | |
| FACBackbone=FreTS, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5498 | |
| TAFASBackbone=PatchTST, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5506 | |
| BaseBackbone=OLS, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.551 | |
| FACBackbone=PatchTST, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5525 | |
| PETSABackbone=FreTS, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.553 | |
| BaseBackbone=FreTS, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5544 | |
| PETSABackbone=PatchTST, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.557 | |
| FACBackbone=DLinear, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5582 | |
| FACBackbone=iTransformer, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5587 | |
| TAFASBackbone=DLinear, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5595 | |
| BaseBackbone=PatchTST, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5608 | |
| TAFASBackbone=iTransformer, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5624 | |
| PETSABackbone=DLinear, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5626 | |
| PETSABackbone=iTransformer, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5641 | |
| BaseBackbone=DLinear, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5659 | |
| BaseBackbone=iTransformer, Horizon=336, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.5662 | |
| Stationarylookback_window_length=720, forecasting_horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | 0.571 | |
| MOIRAIBackbone=MOIRAI, Fine-tuning Protocol=Smoothed Full Fine-tuning, Prediction Length=7202026.06 | 0.582 | |
| MOIRAIBackbone=MOIRAI, Fine-tuning Protocol=Full Fine-tuning, Prediction Length=7202026.06 | 0.634 | |
| UniTS-SFFBackbone=UniTS, Fine-tuning Protocol=SFF, Prediction Length=962026.06 | 0.656 | |
| FACBackbone=iTransformer, Horizon=720, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.6687 | |
| TAFASBackbone=OLS, Horizon=720, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.6704 | |
| TAFASBackbone=iTransformer, Horizon=720, Protocol=matured ground truth2026.05 | 0.6755 |