Time Series Forecasting on Electricity (test)
0.112MSETS-RAG
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TS-RAGzero-shot=true, input length=512, forecasting horizon=64, k=52026.03 | 0.112 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Cross-RAGzero-shot=true, input length=512, forecasting horizon=64, backbone=Chronos-Bolt, k=15, lambda=0.72026.03 | 0.112 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Cross-RAGmode=zero-shot2026.03 | 0.112 | — | — | 0.2 | — | — | |
| Chronos-boltmode=zero-shot2026.03 | 0.113 | — | — | 0.2 | — | — | |
| Time-MoEmode=zero-shot2026.03 | 0.114 | — | — | 0.203 | — | — | |
| RAFzero-shot=true, input length=512, forecasting horizon=642026.03 | 0.119 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTLookback Length=336, Prediction Horizon=962024.01 | 0.13 | — | — | 0.222 | — | — | |
| SFFData proportion=75%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.13 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SFFData proportion=50%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1301 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SFFData proportion=25%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1303 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SFFData proportion=100%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1304 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| LightMTSLookback Length=336, Prediction Horizon=962024.01 | 0.131 | — | — | 0.224 | — | — | |
| SpecReTFPrediction Length=962026.06 | 0.131 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TFSData proportion=100%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1324 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TFSData proportion=75%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1326 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TFSData proportion=50%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1327 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TrioHorizon=962026.06 | 0.133 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RAFTPrediction Length=962026.06 | 0.133 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FFData proportion=25%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1344 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FFData proportion=100%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1344 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FFData proportion=50%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1347 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeMixer++Horizon=962026.06 | 0.135 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TFSData proportion=25%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1365 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FFData proportion=75%, Prediction length=962026.06 | 0.1367 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Length=962026.06 | 0.137 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FITSHorizon=962023.07 | 0.138 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S-MambaLookback length (L)=96, Forecast length (T)=962024.03 | 0.139 | — | — | 0.235 | — | — | |
| MTGNNLookback Length=336, Prediction Horizon=962024.01 | 0.139 | — | — | 0.242 | — | — | |
| DLinearLookback Length=336, Prediction Horizon=962024.01 | 0.14 | — | — | 0.237 | — | — | |
| CrossformerLookback Length=336, Prediction Horizon=962024.01 | 0.142 | — | — | 0.243 | — | — | |
| Motif-based tokenizationDecoding protocol=Conditional2025.05 | 0.144 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| N-BEATSHorizon=962023.07 | 0.145 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SpecReTFPrediction Length=1922026.06 | 0.145 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Chronosmode=zero-shot2026.03 | 0.146 | — | — | 0.224 | — | — | |
| ChronosPatch length=8, Model size=large2025.05 | 0.146 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MoiraiModel size=large2025.05 | 0.146 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Patch-wiseHorizon=962026.06 | 0.146 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| N-HiTSHorizon=962023.07 | 0.147 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeMixer++Horizon=1922026.06 | 0.147 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerLookback length (L)=96, Forecast length (T)=962024.03 | 0.148 | — | — | 0.24 | — | — | |
| iTransformerHorizon=962026.06 | 0.148 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RAFTPrediction Length=1922026.06 | 0.149 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Motif-based tokenizationDecoding protocol=Normal2025.05 | 0.15 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Length=1922026.06 | 0.151 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FITSHorizon=1922023.07 | 0.152 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D-CTNetHorizon=962025.11 | 0.152 | — | — | 0.246 | — | — | |
| MOIRAIHorizon=962026.06 | 0.152 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeMixerHorizon=962026.06 | 0.153 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeAlignConfidence Interval=99%2025.09 | 0.154 | — | — | 0.244 | — | — | |
| TrioHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.156 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SpecReTFPrediction Length=Avg2026.06 | 0.157 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S-MambaLookback length (L)=96, Forecast length (T)=1922024.03 | 0.159 | — | — | 0.255 | — | — | |
| HaKANPrediction Length (T)=Avg., Look-back Length (L)=3362026.01 | 0.16 | — | — | 0.253 | — | — | |
| SpecReTFPrediction Length=3362026.06 | 0.16 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Patch-wiseHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.161 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ChronosPatch length=4, Model size=large2025.05 | 0.162 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.162 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RAFTPrediction Length=Avg2026.06 | 0.162 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MoiraiModel size=base2025.05 | 0.163 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TrioHorizon=Avg2026.06 | 0.164 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeMixer++Horizon=3362026.06 | 0.164 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Length=Avg2026.06 | 0.164 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TVNetConfidence Interval=99%2025.09 | 0.165 | — | — | 0.254 | — | — | |
| TimeMixer++Horizon=Avg2026.06 | 0.165 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FITSHorizon=3362023.07 | 0.166 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeMixerHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.166 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Length=3362026.06 | 0.166 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| N-HiTSHorizon=1922023.07 | 0.167 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| RAFTPrediction Length=3362026.06 | 0.168 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| StationaryPrediction Length=962026.06 | 0.168 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ChronosPatch length=8, Model size=base2025.05 | 0.169 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MICNPrediction Length=962026.06 | 0.169 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S-MambaLookback length (L)=96, Forecast length (T)=Average2024.03 | 0.17 | — | — | 0.265 | — | — | |
| ChronosPatch length=8, Model size=mini2025.05 | 0.17 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MOIRAIHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.171 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TTMmode=zero-shot2026.03 | 0.172 | — | — | 0.264 | — | — | |
| TrioHorizon=3362026.06 | 0.172 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Patch-wiseHorizon=Avg2026.06 | 0.172 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Patch-wiseHorizon=3362026.06 | 0.174 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TIMEKANHorizon=962026.06 | 0.174 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=962026.06 | 0.174 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S-MambaLookback length (L)=96, Forecast length (T)=3362024.03 | 0.176 | — | — | 0.272 | — | — | |
| TimesNetPrediction Length=962026.06 | 0.177 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MICNPrediction Length=1922026.06 | 0.177 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerLookback length (L)=96, Forecast length (T)=Average2024.03 | 0.178 | — | — | 0.27 | — | — | |
| Lite-STGNNParameters=0.74M, Train Time/Epoch (s)=27.32025.12 | 0.178 | — | — | 0.28 | — | — | |
| iTransformerHorizon=3362026.06 | 0.178 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| iTransformerHorizon=Avg2026.06 | 0.178 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| N-BEATSHorizon=1922023.07 | 0.18 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=1922026.06 | 0.181 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| StationaryPrediction Length=1922026.06 | 0.181 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D-CTNetHorizon=Avg2025.11 | 0.182 | — | — | 0.273 | — | — | |
| TIMEKANHorizon=1922026.06 | 0.182 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeMixerHorizon=Avg2026.06 | 0.182 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Moiraimode=zero-shot2026.03 | 0.183 | — | — | 0.281 | — | — | |
| MICNPrediction Length=Avg2026.06 | 0.184 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TimeMixerHorizon=3362026.06 | 0.185 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| N-HiTSHorizon=3362023.07 | 0.186 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MICNPrediction Length=3362026.06 | 0.186 | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MOIRAIHorizon=Avg2026.06 | 0.188 | — | — | — | — | — |