Time Series Forecasting on ECL (with Degradation Analysis)
0.149MSEPRformer + CM
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRformer + CMBackbone=PRformer, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=with CM2024.10 | 0.149 | 0.242 | 3.9 | — | |
| PRformerBackbone=PRformer, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=without CM2024.10 | 0.155 | 0.246 | — | — | |
| Minusformer L=336 + CMBackbone=Minusformer, Input window size (L)=336, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=with CM2024.10 | 0.157 | 0.252 | 2.5 | — | |
| Minusformer L=336Backbone=Minusformer, Input window size (L)=336, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=without CM2024.10 | 0.161 | 0.254 | — | — | |
| Minusformer L=96 + CMBackbone=Minusformer, Input window size (L)=96, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=with CM2024.10 | 0.164 | 0.258 | 4.1 | — | |
| iTransformer + CMBackbone=iTransformer, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=with CM2024.10 | 0.168 | 0.262 | 6.1 | — | |
| CARD L=96 + CMBackbone=CARD, Input window size (L)=96, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=with CM2024.10 | 0.171 | 0.259 | 3.4 | — | |
| Minusformer L=96Backbone=Minusformer, Input window size (L)=96, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=without CM2024.10 | 0.171 | 0.262 | — | — | |
| CARD L=96Backbone=CARD, Input window size (L)=96, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=without CM2024.10 | 0.177 | 0.263 | — | — | |
| iTransformerBackbone=iTransformer, Horizon (H)=Average 4Hs, Method variant=without CM2024.10 | 0.179 | 0.27 | — | — | |
| CleanTarget Model=FreTS2026.02 | 0.195 | 0.283 | 0 | 0 | |
| FGSMSurrogate Model=iTransformer, Target Model=FreTS2026.02 | 0.203 | 0.293 | 4 | 3.5 | |
| MI-TGAMSurrogate Model=iTransformer, Target Model=FreTS2026.02 | 0.21 | 0.301 | 7.8 | 6.4 | |
| MI-TGAMSurrogate Model=iTransformer, Target Model=SegRNN2026.02 | 0.218 | 0.305 | 5.6 | 5 | |
| CleanSurrogate Model=iTransformer, Target Model=Average2026.02 | 0.22 | 0.305 | 0 | 0 | |
| MI-TGAMTarget Model=FreTS2026.02 | 0.225 | 0.319 | 15.5 | 12.7 | |
| MI-TGAMSurrogate Model=iTransformer, Target Model=Average2026.02 | 0.229 | 0.316 | 4.1 | 3.6 | |
| MI-TGAMTarget Model=SegRNN2026.02 | 0.237 | 0.328 | 14.8 | 12.7 | |
| MI-TGAMTarget Model=iTransformer2026.02 | 0.24 | 0.313 | 55.6 | 27.5 | |
| MI-TGAMTarget Model=Average2026.02 | 0.256 | 0.339 | 25.7 | 16.7 | |
| BOTarget Model=TimesNet2026.02 | 0.256 | 0.338 | -1 | -0.9 | |
| ADJMTarget Model=TimesNet2026.02 | 0.257 | 0.339 | -0.8 | -0.7 | |
| MI-TGAMSurrogate Model=iTransformer, Target Model=TimesNet2026.02 | 0.259 | 0.342 | 0.1 | 0.2 | |
| MI-TGAMTarget Model=TimesNet2026.02 | 0.322 | 0.395 | 24.2 | 15.7 |