Time-series forecasting on Dataset 1 benchmark leaderboard · SOTA2 Research

Time-series forecasting on Dataset 1

0.0047RMSEETS

Evaluation Results

Method	Links
ETS2025.09		0.0047	0.0371	0.0014	0.0184	2.6	0.036	840.9
ARIMA2025.09		0.0047	0.0309	0.0015	0.018	3.13	0.028	2,207.4
LinearRegression2025.09		0.0048	0.0362	0.0017	0.0279	2.7	0.033	0.109
KalmanFilter2025.09		0.0054	0.0312	0.0019	0.0173	0.79	0.041	0.335
ARIMA_fixed2025.09		0.0073	0.0493	0.0013	0.0174	0.05	0.019	2,196.3
ETS_fixed2025.09		0.008	0.0486	0.0013	0.0173	0.1	0.025	841.4
LinearRegression_fixed2025.09		0.0083	0.054	0.0015	0.0217	0.26	0.023	0.195
KalmanFilter_fixed2025.09		0.0085	0.0466	0.0016	0.0169	0	0.028	0.339
Recipe Prior Baseline2025.09		0.0259	0.1618	0.0016	0.021	0	0	—