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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Time-series forecasting on Dataset 1

0.0047RMSEETS
0.0038120.0095360.015260.020984Sep 24, 2025
Updated 6mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
ETSType=Standard classical model2025.090.00470.03710.00140.01842.60.036840.9
ARIMAType=Standard classical model2025.090.00470.03090.00150.0183.130.0282,207.4
LinearRegressionType=Standard classical model2025.090.00480.03620.00170.02792.70.0330.109
KalmanFilterType=Standard classical model2025.090.00540.03120.00190.01730.790.0410.335
ARIMA_fixedType=Process-Informed (PIF) variant, Constraint=fixed-weight loss2025.090.00730.04930.00130.01740.050.0192,196.3
ETS_fixedType=Process-Informed (PIF) variant, Constraint=fixed-weight loss2025.090.0080.04860.00130.01730.10.025841.4
LinearRegression_fixedType=Process-Informed (PIF) variant, Constraint=fixed-weight loss2025.090.00830.0540.00150.02170.260.0230.195
KalmanFilter_fixedType=Process-Informed (PIF) variant, Constraint=fixed-weight loss2025.090.00850.04660.00160.016900.0280.339
Recipe Prior BaselineType=Non-ML Baseline2025.090.02590.16180.00160.02100—