Time Series Forecasting on AusRain
1.092MSEMoment + MEMTS
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Moment + MEMTSHorizon=Avg, Zero-shot=true2026.02 | 1.092 | 0.854 | |
| MomentHorizon=Avg, Zero-shot=true2026.02 | 1.101 | 0.858 | |
| Moment + MEMTSBackbone=Moment, Adaptation Method=MEMTS, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 1.153 | 0.874 | |
| Moment + RAGBackbone=Moment, Adaptation Method=RAG, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 1.167 | 0.879 | |
| MomentBackbone=Moment, Adaptation Method=None, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 1.17 | 0.88 | |
| Moment + DAPTBackbone=Moment, Adaptation Method=DAPT, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 1.176 | 0.874 | |
| Chronos-Bolt-Small + MEMTSHorizon=Avg, Zero-shot=true2026.02 | 1.185 | 0.873 | |
| Sundial + MEMTSHorizon=Avg, Zero-shot=true2026.02 | 1.197 | 0.877 | |
| Sundial + MEMTSBackbone=Sundial, Adaptation Method=MEMTS, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 1.199 | 0.865 | |
| Sundial + DAPTBackbone=Sundial, Adaptation Method=DAPT, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 1.217 | 0.857 | |
| SundialHorizon=Avg, Zero-shot=true2026.02 | 1.227 | 0.887 | |
| Sundial + RAGBackbone=Sundial, Adaptation Method=RAG, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 1.227 | 0.874 | |
| SundialBackbone=Sundial, Adaptation Method=None, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 1.24 | 0.878 | |
| Chronos-Bolt-Base + MEMTSHorizon=Avg, Zero-shot=true2026.02 | 1.25 | 0.894 | |
| Bolt-B + MEMTSBackbone=Bolt-B, Adaptation Method=MEMTS, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 1.321 | 0.905 | |
| Bolt-B + DAPTBackbone=Bolt-B, Adaptation Method=DAPT, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 1.329 | 0.901 | |
| Bolt-S + MEMTSBackbone=Bolt-S, Adaptation Method=MEMTS, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 1.337 | 0.914 | |
| Bolt-S + DAPTBackbone=Bolt-S, Adaptation Method=DAPT, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 1.34 | 0.921 | |
| Moirai + MEMTSHorizon=Avg, Zero-shot=true2026.02 | 1.459 | 0.965 | |
| Moirai + MEMTSBackbone=Moirai, Adaptation Method=MEMTS, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 1.506 | 0.981 | |
| Moirai + DAPTBackbone=Moirai, Adaptation Method=DAPT, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 1.534 | 0.995 | |
| Chronos-Bolt-SmallHorizon=Avg, Zero-shot=true2026.02 | 1.652 | 1.029 | |
| Chronos-Bolt-BaseHorizon=Avg, Zero-shot=true2026.02 | 1.698 | 1.044 | |
| MoiraiHorizon=Avg, Zero-shot=true2026.02 | 1.773 | 1.044 | |
| Bolt-B + RAGBackbone=Bolt-B, Adaptation Method=RAG, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 2.048 | 1.141 | |
| Bolt-BBackbone=Bolt-B, Adaptation Method=None, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 2.077 | 1.15 | |
| Bolt-S + RAGBackbone=Bolt-S, Adaptation Method=RAG, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 2.193 | 1.189 | |
| Bolt-SBackbone=Bolt-S, Adaptation Method=None, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 2.225 | 1.198 | |
| Moirai + RAGBackbone=Moirai, Adaptation Method=RAG, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 2.254 | 1.174 | |
| MoiraiBackbone=Moirai, Adaptation Method=None, Forecasting Horizon (H)=962026.02 | 2.261 | 1.176 |