Time Series Forecasting on 27 real-world application datasets (test) benchmark leaderboard · SOTA2 Research

Time Series Forecasting on 27 real-world application datasets (test)

0.3974SQLBaguan-TS

Evaluation Results

Method	Links
Baguan-TS2026.03		0.3974	0.4956	0.0597	0.049
Baguan-TS2026.03		0.3974	0.4956	0.0597	0.049
Baguan-TS2026.03		0.4089	0.5182	0.0219	0.0174
Chronos-Bolt2026.03		0.4415	0.5491	0.0253	0.0203
TabPFN-TS2026.03		0.4663	0.6115	0.0688	0.0537
TabPFN-TS2026.03		0.4663	0.6115	0.0688	0.0537
Chronos-Bolt2026.03		0.5101	0.635	0.0976	0.0783
Chronos-Bolt2026.03		0.5101	0.635	0.0976	0.0783
TabPFN-TS2026.03		0.512	0.6817	0.0325	0.0242
TiRex2026.03		0.5544	0.6896	0.0336	0.027
TiRex2026.03		0.571	0.7094	0.0975	0.0784
TiRex2026.03		0.571	0.7094	0.0975	0.0784
Moirai-2.02026.03		0.7139	0.8875	0.1031	0.086
Moirai-2.02026.03		0.7139	0.8875	0.1031	0.086
Sundial-Base2026.03		0.7486	0.9042	0.1133	0.0981
Sundial-Base2026.03		0.7486	0.9042	0.1133	0.0981
Sundial-Base2026.03		0.7536	0.9411	0.045	0.036
Moirai-2.02026.03		0.7621	0.9701	0.046	0.036
Toto-1.02026.03		0.8414	1.0566	0.1269	0.1034
Toto-1.02026.03		0.8414	1.0566	0.1269	0.1034
TimesFM-2.02026.03		0.8418	0.9278	0.1093	0.0954
TimesFM-2.02026.03		0.8418	0.9278	0.1093	0.0954
Toto-1.02026.03		0.8888	1.1359	0.0557	0.043
AutoTheta2026.03		0.8977	1.2644	0.0632	0.0385
TimesFM-2.02026.03		0.941	1.0132	0.0506	0.0469
Seasonal Naive2026.03		1.0799	1.2065	0.0596	0.0499
Stat. Ensemble2026.03		1.6205	2.232	0.1051	0.076
Stat. Ensemble2026.03		2.1497	2.5786	0.3952	0.3696
Naive2026.03		2.4675	3.0599	0.1479	0.1182
AutoARIMA2026.03		2.573	0.8526	0.0395	0.1289
Seasonal Naive2026.03		2.8045	1.0504	0.1138	0.6565
AutoARIMA2026.03		2.8936	0.8303	0.1052	0.4383
Naive2026.03		3.3094	3.9533	0.6684	0.5749
AutoETS2026.03		7.4514	6.4652	0.2931	0.3218
AutoETS2026.03		12.4569	6.2235	0.7653	2.4483
AutoTheta2026.03		13.5611	3.0717	0.7062	3.892