Temporal Knowledge Graph Extrapolation Reasoning on GDELT
52.41MRRDynaGen
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DynaGentask=extrapolation2025.12 | 52.41 | 39.99 | 60.59 | 72.22 | |
| ECEformertask=extrapolation2025.12 | 50.89 | 38.71 | 59.45 | 71.02 | |
| EST-TransformerBackbone=Transformer2026.02 | 41.2 | 35.6 | 42.9 | 51.9 | |
| EST-RNNBackbone=RNN2026.02 | 40.8 | 34.8 | 42.6 | 51 | |
| EST-LSTMBackbone=LSTM2026.02 | 40.8 | 35 | 42.5 | 51.9 | |
| EST-MambaBackbone=Mamba2026.02 | 39 | 32.9 | 40.8 | 50.4 | |
| DREAMtask=extrapolation2025.12 | 28.1 | 19.3 | 31.1 | 44.7 | |
| CHE-TKG2026.05 | 27.38 | 17.73 | — | 47.02 | |
| HisRES2026.05 | 26.58 | 16.9 | — | 46.31 | |
| OntoTKGECategory=ours, Base Model=HisRES2026.04 | 26.2 | 16.4 | — | 46.3 | |
| CSItask=extrapolation2025.12 | 25.6 | 18.2 | 28.5 | 40.7 | |
| HisRESCategory=base model2026.04 | 25.6 | 16.1 | — | 45.2 | |
| HyperCLCategory=baseline, Base Model=HisRES2026.04 | 25.5 | 16 | — | 44.4 | |
| DyMemRtask=extrapolation2025.12 | 25.46 | 16.79 | 27.96 | 42.49 | |
| DyMemR2026.05 | 25.46 | 16.79 | — | 42.49 | |
| JOIECategory=baseline, Base Model=HisRES2026.04 | 25.3 | 15.9 | — | 44.1 | |
| DiffuTKG2026.02 | 25.1 | 16.2 | — | 42.3 | |
| Re-Temp2026.02 | 25 | 15.7 | 27.1 | 44.2 | |
| OntoTKGECategory=ours, Base Model=LogCL2026.04 | 24.4 | 14.7 | — | 43.8 | |
| LogCL2026.02 | 23.8 | 14.6 | 25.6 | 42.3 | |
| LogCLtask=extrapolation2025.12 | 23.75 | 14.64 | 25.6 | 42.33 | |
| LogCL2026.05 | 23.75 | 14.64 | — | 42.33 | |
| LogCLCategory=base model2026.04 | 23.7 | 14.6 | — | 42.3 | |
| JOIECategory=baseline, Base Model=LogCL2026.04 | 23.6 | 14.5 | — | 42.2 | |
| HyperCLCategory=baseline, Base Model=LogCL2026.04 | 23.5 | 14.5 | — | 42 | |
| THCNtask=extrapolation2025.12 | 23.46 | 15.18 | 25.21 | 39.03 | |
| HTCCN2026.05 | 23.46 | 15.18 | — | — | |
| OntoTKGECategory=ours, Base Model=TiRGN2026.04 | 23.1 | 14.2 | — | 40.5 | |
| RPC2026.05 | 22.41 | 14.42 | — | 38.33 | |
| HisMatch2026.05 | 22.01 | 14.45 | — | 36.61 | |
| HiSMatch2026.02 | 22 | 14.5 | 23.8 | 36.6 | |
| DSEP2026.02 | 22 | 13.9 | 23.7 | 38.1 | |
| ANELCategory=baseline, Base Model=TiRGN2026.04 | 22 | 13.8 | — | 38.3 | |
| TempValidtask=extrapolation2025.12 | 21.88 | 14.37 | 24.4 | 37 | |
| TiRGN2026.02 | 21.7 | 13.6 | 23.3 | 37.6 | |
| TiRGN2026.05 | 21.67 | 13.63 | — | 37.6 | |
| TiRGNCategory=base model2026.04 | 21.5 | 13.6 | — | 37.4 | |
| JOIECategory=baseline, Base Model=TiRGN2026.04 | 21.5 | 13.4 | — | 37.4 | |
| HyperCLCategory=baseline, Base Model=TiRGN2026.04 | 21.4 | 13.4 | — | 37.4 | |
| OntoTKGECategory=ours, Base Model=RE-GCN2026.04 | 20.6 | 12.9 | — | 35.6 | |
| L2TKGtask=extrapolation2025.12 | 20.53 | 12.89 | — | 35.83 | |
| OntoTKGECategory=ours, Base Model=RETIA2026.04 | 20.5 | 12.7 | — | 35.5 | |
| CEN2026.02 | 20.4 | 13 | 21.8 | 35 | |
| CEN2026.05 | 20.39 | 12.96 | — | 34.97 | |
| ANELCategory=baseline, Base Model=RE-GCN2026.04 | 20.3 | 12.8 | — | 35 | |
| CENET2026.02 | 20.2 | 12.7 | 21.7 | 34.9 | |
| RETIA2026.05 | 20.12 | 12.76 | — | 34.49 | |
| RETIA2026.02 | 20.1 | 12.8 | 21.5 | 34.5 | |
| RETIACategory=base model2026.04 | 19.9 | 12.4 | — | 34.1 | |
| RE-GCNtask=extrapolation2025.12 | 19.69 | 12.46 | 20.93 | 33.81 | |
| RE-GCN2026.05 | 19.69 | 12.46 | — | 33.81 | |
| RE-NET2026.02 | 19.6 | 12.4 | 21 | 34 | |
| RE-GCN2026.02 | 19.6 | 12.4 | 20.9 | 33.7 | |
| JOIECategory=baseline, Base Model=RETIA2026.04 | 19.6 | 12.4 | — | 33.7 | |
| HyperCLCategory=baseline, Base Model=RETIA2026.04 | 19.6 | 12.4 | — | 33.6 | |
| RE-NET2026.05 | 19.55 | 12.38 | — | 34 | |
| TANGO2026.05 | 19.53 | 12.43 | — | 33.19 | |
| RE-GCNCategory=base model2026.04 | 19.5 | 12.2 | — | 33.5 | |
| JOIECategory=baseline, Base Model=RE-GCN2026.04 | 19.5 | 12.4 | — | 33.4 | |
| HyperCLCategory=baseline, Base Model=RE-GCN2026.04 | 19.4 | 12.3 | — | 33.3 | |
| CyGNet2026.02 | 18.5 | 11.5 | 19.6 | 32 | |
| xERTE2026.02 | 18.1 | 12.3 | 20.1 | 30.3 | |
| TIter2026.02 | 15.5 | 11 | 15.6 | 24.3 |