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State estimation on Avedøre primary benchmark

0.6435RMSECCSS-RS
0.622920.7618350.900751.039665May 19, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
CCSS-RSNumber of seeds (n)=10, Reference type=black-box2026.050.64350.38250.7784——
CCSS-IX-StaticNumber of seeds (n)=10, Regime expert=Static2026.050.64590.3830.75470.20.029
CCSS-IX-AdaptiveNumber of seeds (n)=10, Regime expert=Adaptive context-conditioned, Main model=true2026.050.65020.390.82010.70.01
CCSS-IX-Adaptive+ResNumber of seeds (n)=10, Regime expert=Adaptive+Residual2026.050.66440.42151.28482.10.01
LSTM open-loop (adapted)Number of seeds (n)=4, Parameter budget=1.21 M, Input conditioning=mask-aware Gaussian NLL and log1p(Δt)-conditioned, Sampling protocol=irregular sampling, 43% missingness2026.051.1580.789—53.50.39