SIR Dynamics Forecasting on Erdős-Rényi graphs (out-of-sample)
12.86MAPEABM-NN
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |
|---|---|---|
| ABM-NNNetwork Size=50, Initial infection ratio (I0)=1%2025.12 | 12.86 | |
| ABM-NNNetwork Size=50, Initial infection ratio (I0)=5%2025.12 | 13.88 | |
| ABM-NNNetwork Size=50, Initial infection ratio (I0)=10%2025.12 | 15.51 | |
| ABM-NNNetwork Size=100, Initial infection ratio (I0)=1%2025.12 | 20.43 | |
| ABM-NNNetwork Size=100, Initial infection ratio (I0)=5%2025.12 | 22.69 | |
| ABM-NNNetwork Size=50, Initial infection ratio (I0)=20%2025.12 | 22.76 | |
| ABM-NNNetwork Size=100, Initial infection ratio (I0)=10%2025.12 | 28.62 | |
| ABM-NNNetwork Size=150, Initial infection ratio (I0)=1%2025.12 | 28.91 | |
| ABM-NNNetwork Size=100, Initial infection ratio (I0)=20%2025.12 | 30 | |
| ABM-NNNetwork Size=150, Initial infection ratio (I0)=10%2025.12 | 30.61 | |
| ABM-NNNetwork Size=Average2025.12 | 31.86 | |
| ABM-NNNetwork Size=150, Initial infection ratio (I0)=5%2025.12 | 32.22 | |
| TRANSFORMERNetwork Size=100, Initial infection ratio (I0)=1%2025.12 | 37.26 | |
| SAGENetwork Size=100, Initial infection ratio (I0)=1%2025.12 | 38.08 | |
| GCNNetwork Size=100, Initial infection ratio (I0)=1%2025.12 | 38.39 | |
| SAGENetwork Size=100, Initial infection ratio (I0)=10%2025.12 | 41.64 | |
| GCNNetwork Size=50, Initial infection ratio (I0)=20%2025.12 | 41.84 | |
| TRANSFORMERNetwork Size=100, Initial infection ratio (I0)=10%2025.12 | 42.23 | |
| ABM-NNNetwork Size=200, Initial infection ratio (I0)=1%2025.12 | 42.23 | |
| TRANSFORMERNetwork Size=100, Initial infection ratio (I0)=5%2025.12 | 42.35 | |
| TRANSFORMERNetwork Size=100, Initial infection ratio (I0)=20%2025.12 | 42.57 | |
| GCNNetwork Size=100, Initial infection ratio (I0)=5%2025.12 | 43.33 | |
| ABM-NNNetwork Size=150, Initial infection ratio (I0)=20%2025.12 | 43.83 | |
| SAGENetwork Size=100, Initial infection ratio (I0)=20%2025.12 | 44.23 | |
| GCNNetwork Size=100, Initial infection ratio (I0)=10%2025.12 | 47.28 | |
| GCNNetwork Size=50, Initial infection ratio (I0)=10%2025.12 | 47.31 | |
| GCNNetwork Size=100, Initial infection ratio (I0)=20%2025.12 | 47.43 | |
| SAGENetwork Size=100, Initial infection ratio (I0)=5%2025.12 | 48.4 | |
| ABM-NNNetwork Size=200, Initial infection ratio (I0)=20%2025.12 | 50.21 | |
| GCNNetwork Size=50, Initial infection ratio (I0)=5%2025.12 | 52.44 | |
| TRANSFORMERNetwork Size=150, Initial infection ratio (I0)=1%2025.12 | 56.02 | |
| ABM-NNNetwork Size=200, Initial infection ratio (I0)=10%2025.12 | 57.24 | |
| ABM-NNNetwork Size=200, Initial infection ratio (I0)=5%2025.12 | 57.76 | |
| TRANSFORMERNetwork Size=50, Initial infection ratio (I0)=10%2025.12 | 60.94 | |
| GCNNetwork Size=150, Initial infection ratio (I0)=1%2025.12 | 61.53 | |
| TRANSFORMERNetwork Size=50, Initial infection ratio (I0)=5%2025.12 | 62.18 | |
| TRANSFORMERNetwork Size=150, Initial infection ratio (I0)=10%2025.12 | 62.18 | |
| GCNNetwork Size=50, Initial infection ratio (I0)=1%2025.12 | 65.01 | |
| TRANSFORMERNetwork Size=150, Initial infection ratio (I0)=5%2025.12 | 65.25 | |
| TRANSFORMERNetwork Size=150, Initial infection ratio (I0)=20%2025.12 | 66.55 | |
| TRANSFORMERNetwork Size=50, Initial infection ratio (I0)=1%2025.12 | 66.79 | |
| GCNNetwork Size=150, Initial infection ratio (I0)=10%2025.12 | 69.55 | |
| TRANSFORMERNetwork Size=50, Initial infection ratio (I0)=20%2025.12 | 71.92 | |
| GCNNetwork Size=150, Initial infection ratio (I0)=5%2025.12 | 72.36 | |
| GCNNetwork Size=150, Initial infection ratio (I0)=20%2025.12 | 77.15 | |
| SAGENetwork Size=150, Initial infection ratio (I0)=1%2025.12 | 77.42 | |
| TRANSFORMERNetwork Size=Average2025.12 | 79.84 | |
| SAGENetwork Size=150, Initial infection ratio (I0)=10%2025.12 | 82.6 | |
| SAGENetwork Size=50, Initial infection ratio (I0)=1%2025.12 | 84.16 | |
| GCNNetwork Size=Average2025.12 | 88.85 | |
| SAGENetwork Size=50, Initial infection ratio (I0)=5%2025.12 | 94.29 | |
| SAGENetwork Size=150, Initial infection ratio (I0)=5%2025.12 | 95.87 | |
| SAGENetwork Size=50, Initial infection ratio (I0)=10%2025.12 | 98.3 | |
| SAGENetwork Size=150, Initial infection ratio (I0)=20%2025.12 | 115.59 | |
| TRANSFORMERNetwork Size=200, Initial infection ratio (I0)=1%2025.12 | 119.99 | |
| SAGENetwork Size=50, Initial infection ratio (I0)=20%2025.12 | 127.55 | |
| GCNNetwork Size=200, Initial infection ratio (I0)=1%2025.12 | 136.97 | |
| TRANSFORMERNetwork Size=200, Initial infection ratio (I0)=10%2025.12 | 157.22 | |
| TRANSFORMERNetwork Size=200, Initial infection ratio (I0)=5%2025.12 | 161.52 | |
| TRANSFORMERNetwork Size=200, Initial infection ratio (I0)=20%2025.12 | 162.49 | |
| SAGENetwork Size=Average2025.12 | 188.47 | |
| GCNNetwork Size=200, Initial infection ratio (I0)=5%2025.12 | 200.41 | |
| GCNNetwork Size=200, Initial infection ratio (I0)=10%2025.12 | 200.89 | |
| GCNNetwork Size=200, Initial infection ratio (I0)=20%2025.12 | 219.77 | |
| SAGENetwork Size=200, Initial infection ratio (I0)=1%2025.12 | 362.73 | |
| SAGENetwork Size=200, Initial infection ratio (I0)=10%2025.12 | 485.88 | |
| SAGENetwork Size=200, Initial infection ratio (I0)=5%2025.12 | 525.58 | |
| SAGENetwork Size=200, Initial infection ratio (I0)=20%2025.12 | 693.14 |