Short-term Forecasting on M4 Weighted Average
11.618SMAPEChimera
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChimeraPublication Year=20242024.06 | 11.618 | 1.528 | 0.827 | |
| Chimera2026.03 | 11.618 | 1.528 | 0.827 | |
| VI 2D SSM2026.03 | 11.686 | 1.549 | 0.832 | |
| DeepEDMDynamical modeling=true2025.06 | 11.695 | 1.566 | 0.841 | |
| ModernTCNPublication Year=20242024.06 | 11.698 | 1.556 | 0.838 | |
| ModernTCN2026.03 | 11.698 | 1.556 | 0.838 | |
| TimeMixer2025.06 | 11.723 | 1.559 | 0.84 | |
| PatchTSTPublication Year=20232024.06 | 11.807 | 1.59 | 0.851 | |
| PatchTST2026.03 | 11.807 | 1.59 | 0.851 | |
| TimesNetPublication Year=20232024.06 | 11.829 | 1.585 | 0.851 | |
| TimesNet2026.03 | 11.829 | 1.585 | 0.851 | |
| TimesNet2025.06 | 11.829 | 1.585 | 0.851 | |
| SIGMA2026.05 | 11.84 | 1.585 | 0.868 | |
| N-BEATS*Publication Year=20192024.06 | 11.851 | 1.599 | 0.855 | |
| N-BEATS2026.03 | 11.851 | 1.599 | 0.855 | |
| N-BEATS*pure forecasting=true2025.06 | 11.851 | 1.559 | 0.855 | |
| KoopaDynamical modeling=true2025.06 | 11.863 | 1.595 | 0.858 | |
| MultiPatch2026.05 | 11.889 | 1.591 | 0.872 | |
| TimesNet2026.05 | 11.91 | 1.604 | 0.876 | |
| N-HiTSPublication Year=20222024.06 | 11.927 | 1.613 | 0.861 | |
| N-HiTS2026.03 | 11.927 | 1.613 | 0.861 | |
| N-HiTS2025.06 | 11.927 | 1.613 | 0.861 | |
| AMD2026.05 | 11.987 | 1.605 | 0.881 | |
| TimeMixer2026.05 | 12.002 | 1.604 | 0.882 | |
| WPMixer2026.05 | 12.067 | 1.623 | 0.887 | |
| MSGNet2026.05 | 12.08 | 1.647 | 0.898 | |
| KNFDynamical modeling=true2025.06 | 12.126 | 1.641 | 0.874 | |
| StationaryPublication Year=20222024.06 | 12.78 | 1.756 | 0.93 | |
| Stationary2026.03 | 12.78 | 1.756 | 0.93 | |
| Stationary2025.06 | 12.78 | 1.756 | 0.93 | |
| FED*Publication Year=20222024.06 | 12.84 | 1.701 | 0.918 | |
| FEDformer2026.03 | 12.84 | 1.701 | 0.918 | |
| FED.2025.06 | 12.84 | 1.701 | 0.918 | |
| Auto*Publication Year=20212024.06 | 12.909 | 1.771 | 0.939 | |
| Autoformer2026.03 | 12.909 | 1.771 | 0.939 | |
| Auto.2025.06 | 12.909 | 1.771 | 0.939 | |
| MICN2026.05 | 13.015 | 1.836 | 0.983 | |
| PatchTST2025.06 | 13.152 | 1.945 | 0.998 | |
| Pyra.2026.05 | 13.495 | 1.864 | 1.015 | |
| LightTSPublication Year=20222024.06 | 13.525 | 2.111 | 1.051 | |
| LightTS2026.03 | 13.525 | 2.111 | 1.051 | |
| LightTS2025.06 | 13.525 | 2.111 | 1.051 | |
| DLinearPublication Year=20232024.06 | 13.639 | 2.095 | 1.051 | |
| DLinear2026.03 | 13.639 | 2.095 | 1.051 | |
| DLinear2025.06 | 13.639 | 2.095 | 1.051 | |
| In*Publication Year=20212024.06 | 14.086 | 2.718 | 1.23 | |
| Informer2026.03 | 14.086 | 2.718 | 1.23 | |
| In.2025.06 | 14.086 | 2.718 | 1.23 | |
| ETS*Publication Year=20222024.06 | 14.718 | 2.408 | 1.172 | |
| ETSformer2026.03 | 14.718 | 2.408 | 1.172 | |
| FiLM2025.06 | 14.863 | 2.207 | 1.125 | |
| Pyra*Publication Year=20212024.06 | 16.987 | 3.265 | 1.48 | |
| Pyraformer2026.03 | 16.987 | 3.265 | 1.48 | |
| Pyra.2025.06 | 16.987 | 3.265 | 1.48 | |
| Re*Publication Year=20202024.06 | 18.2 | 4.223 | 1.775 | |
| Reformer2026.03 | 18.2 | 4.223 | 1.775 | |
| LSTMPublication Year=19972024.06 | 160.031 | 25.788 | 12.642 |