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Short-term drop-off demand forecasting on Washington D.C. Capital Bikeshare

0.151MAESimple TST
0.132960.254730.37650.49827Feb 6, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
Simple TSTForecasting Type=Probabilistic, Input Types=Baseline2026.020.1510.4620.1262.202
T-STARForecasting Type=Probabilistic, Input Types=T-STAR2026.020.1510.4620.1261.895
STAEformerForecasting Type=Probabilistic, Input Types=Baseline2026.020.1520.4750.1863.655
TFTForecasting Type=Probabilistic, Input Types=Env., Facility and PT2026.020.1540.4720.1312.083
DeepARForecasting Type=Probabilistic, Input Types=Env., Facility and PT2026.020.1550.4730.1332.011
TST-HourlyForecasting Type=Deterministic, Input Types=Global Environment2026.020.1990.437——
MyopicForecasting Type=Deterministic, Input Types=Last demand observation of each station2026.020.2250.572——
XGBoostForecasting Type=Deterministic, Input Types=Env., Facility and PT2026.020.3170.452——
Historical AverageForecasting Type=Deterministic, Input Types=Baseline2026.020.3310.505——
STGCNForecasting Type=Probabilistic, Input Types=Env., Facility and PT2026.020.6020.9170.5358.969