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Sentence-Level Confidence Prediction on FEVER

0.737AUROCVERDI LR ensemble
0.41980.502150.58450.66685Feb 1, 2026Feb 17, 2026Mar 6, 2026Mar 22, 2026Apr 8, 2026Apr 24, 2026May 11, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
VERDI LR ensembleCalls=1×2026.050.737—
Best single signalCalls=1×2026.050.718—
SelfCheckGPT2026.020.70.364
Structural Signal2026.020.6830.348
Semantic-feature2026.020.6820.349
CoT-UQCalls=5×2026.050.582—
Trace lengthCalls=1×2026.050.574—
Structure-feature2026.020.5730.274
Spectral Stability2026.020.5550.268
Shape Coherence2026.020.5520.263
Local Variation2026.020.5340.247
Logprob confidenceCalls=1×2026.050.523—
KMeans-outlier2026.020.5180.234
Mean logp2026.020.4380.208
Semantic entropyProtocol=NLI, single-pass2026.020.4320.201