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Selective Prediction on TriviaQA

0.3234E-AURCSequence NLL
0.0339680.1091090.184250.259391Mar 22, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
Sequence NLLBase Model=Gemma 3 4B2026.030.32340.2807
Sequence NLLBase Model=Qwen3 4B2026.030.25940.2671
Sequence NLLBase Model=Llama 3.2 3B2026.030.19440.1818
Semantic EntropyBase Model=Gemma 3 4B2026.030.17030.2151
PC ProbeBase Model=Gemma 3 4B2026.030.16130.0743
Combined: PC + NLLBase Model=Gemma 3 4B2026.030.15830.0724
SE ProbeBase Model=Qwen3 4B2026.030.14130.0824
Combined: PC + SEBase Model=Gemma 3 4B2026.030.13830.0571
SE ProbeBase Model=Gemma 3 4B2026.030.12320.1413
SE ProbeBase Model=Llama 3.2 3B2026.030.11920.0734
Combined: PC + SE ProbeBase Model=Gemma 3 4B2026.030.11920.0521
SE ProbeBase Model=Ministral 8B2026.030.10720.038
PC ProbeBase Model=Ministral 8B2026.030.09920.035
Combined: PC + NLLBase Model=Ministral 8B2026.030.09620.0351
Semantic EntropyBase Model=Qwen3 4B2026.030.09420.045
Sequence NLLBase Model=Ministral 8B2026.030.09120.031
PC ProbeBase Model=Llama 3.2 3B2026.030.08720.0734
Combined: PC + NLLBase Model=Llama 3.2 3B2026.030.07720.0804
Combined: PC + SEBase Model=Ministral 8B2026.030.07320.029
Combined: PC + SE ProbeBase Model=Llama 3.2 3B2026.030.07010.1031
Combined: PC + SE ProbeBase Model=Ministral 8B2026.030.06910.032
PC ProbeBase Model=Qwen3 4B2026.030.06610.0632
Semantic EntropyBase Model=Ministral 8B2026.030.06610.036
Combined: PC + NLLBase Model=Qwen3 4B2026.030.06510.0622
Combined: PC + SE ProbeBase Model=Qwen3 4B2026.030.05710.0642
Combined: PC + SEBase Model=Llama 3.2 3B2026.030.05510.0491
Combined: PC + SEBase Model=Qwen3 4B2026.030.04610.0773
Semantic EntropyBase Model=Llama 3.2 3B2026.030.04510.0411