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Scaling Law Prediction on MMLU

0.0206MAENEUNEU
0.0198960.0246480.02940.034152Jan 27, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
NEUNEUPure forecasting=true2026.010.0206
AveragePure forecasting=true2026.010.0207
HistDiffAccess to ground truth accuracy=true2026.010.0208
NoLossPure forecasting=true2026.010.0209
DiffProbeAccess to ground truth accuracy=true2026.010.0252
LogisticAccess to ground truth accuracy=true2026.010.0332
LC-PFNPure forecasting=true2026.010.0382