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Reliability prediction on POPE Adversarial

97.1AUROCHidden-state probe (best layer)
48.2260.9173.686.29May 5, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
Hidden-state probe (best layer)Model=Qwen2-VL, Method Category=Internal readouts (single pass)2026.0597.1
Stacked probe (last 5 layers)Model=Qwen2-VL, Method Category=Internal readouts (single pass)2026.0597
Stacked probe (last 5 layers)Model=LLaVA-1.5, Method Category=Internal readouts (single pass)2026.0595.7
Hidden-state probe (best layer)Model=LLaVA-1.5, Method Category=Internal readouts (single pass)2026.0595.6
Self-consistency (K=10)Model=PaliGemma, Method Category=Behavioral (10× cost), K=102026.0580.8
Self-consistency (K=10)Model=Qwen2-VL, Method Category=Behavioral (10× cost), K=102026.0579.3
Self-consistency (K=10)Model=LLaVA-1.5, Method Category=Behavioral (10× cost), K=102026.0578.2
Stacked probe (last 5 layers)Model=PaliGemma, Method Category=Internal readouts (single pass)2026.0575.2
Hidden-state probe (best layer)Model=PaliGemma, Method Category=Internal readouts (single pass)2026.0573.8
Truth margin ΔMℓ aloneModel=LLaVA-1.5, Method Category=Internal readouts (single pass)2026.0572.2
Truth margin ΔMℓ aloneModel=PaliGemma, Method Category=Internal readouts (single pass)2026.0570.1
Truth margin ΔMℓ aloneModel=Qwen2-VL, Method Category=Internal readouts (single pass)2026.0563.4
Output confidenceModel=PaliGemma, Method Category=Single-pass baselines2026.0555.4
Output confidenceModel=LLaVA-1.5, Method Category=Single-pass baselines2026.0554.1
Output confidenceModel=Qwen2-VL, Method Category=Single-pass baselines2026.0553.2
Logit entropyModel=PaliGemma, Method Category=Single-pass baselines2026.0552.1
Logit entropyModel=Qwen2-VL, Method Category=Single-pass baselines2026.0550.8
Spatial attention (Hs, Ck)Model=PaliGemma, Method Category=Single-pass baselines2026.0550.5
Spatial attention (Hs, Ck)Model=LLaVA-1.5, Method Category=Single-pass baselines2026.0550.3
Logit entropyModel=LLaVA-1.5, Method Category=Single-pass baselines2026.0550.2
Spatial attention (Hs, Ck)Model=Qwen2-VL, Method Category=Single-pass baselines2026.0550.1