Regression on Year (test) (NLL, CRPS, CQM)
3.47NLLGAPA
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAPA2026.02 | 3.47 | 4.663 | 0.014 | |
| VaLLA200config_parameter=2002026.02 | 3.485 | 4.97 | 0.041 | |
| VaLLA 200Number of inducing points=2002026.06 | 3.493 | 5.026 | 0.076 | |
| VaLLA100config_parameter=1002026.02 | 3.515 | 5.004 | 0.047 | |
| VaLLA 100Number of inducing points=1002026.06 | 3.527 | 5.071 | 0.084 | |
| Ensemble2026.02 | 3.639 | 4.833 | 0.938 | |
| LLA DiagHessian Approximation=Diagonal2026.02 | 3.647 | 4.917 | 0.088 | |
| LLA KFACHessian Approximation=KFAC2026.02 | 3.648 | 4.915 | 0.086 | |
| LLA*Hessian Approximation=Diagonal, Variant=Last-layer2026.02 | 3.648 | 4.915 | 0.086 | |
| LLA*KFACHessian Approximation=KFAC, Variant=Last-layer2026.02 | 3.648 | 4.914 | 0.086 | |
| LLA DiagLaplace approximation variant=diagonal2026.06 | 3.65 | 4.957 | 0.122 | |
| LLA KFACLaplace approximation variant=Kronecker-factorized2026.06 | 3.65 | 4.955 | 0.121 | |
| LLA*Laplace approximation variant=last-layer2026.06 | 3.65 | 4.954 | 0.12 | |
| LLA* KFACLaplace approximation variant=last-layer Kronecker-factorized2026.06 | 3.65 | 4.954 | 0.12 | |
| MAP2026.02 | 3.673 | 5.023 | 0.134 | |
| MAPbaseline=maximum-a-posteriori2026.06 | 3.674 | 5.056 | 0.164 | |
| ELLALaplace approximation variant=accelerated2026.06 | 3.674 | 5.056 | 0.164 | |
| Dropout2026.02 | 3.689 | 5.128 | 0.939 | |
| ELLA2026.02 | 4.02 | 6.049 | 0.424 |