Regression of Treasury yield levels on FOMC Stance Scores 10Y Treasury Yield
0.796BetaDCS
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| DCSModel=Llama-3.1-8B2026.03 | 0.796 | 0.01 | |
| DCSModel=DeepSeek-R1-14B2026.03 | 0.782 | 0.01 | |
| SupervisedModel=FOMC-RoBERTa2026.03 | 0.536 | 0.01 | |
| LLM JudgeModel=Llama-3.1-8B2026.03 | 0.328 | 0.01 | |
| Logit-Based JudgeModel=Llama-3.1-8B2026.03 | 0.299 | 0.012 | |
| Linear ProbeModel=Llama-3.1-8B2026.03 | 0.227 | 0.067 |