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Refusal Prediction on Locked GLM n=4,200, 20 item clusters (test)

-0.475Beta CoefficientLlama-3.1-70B
-1.18116-0.99783-0.8145-0.63117May 7, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
Llama-3.1-70BReference Model=OLMo-3-Instruct, Frame Reference=deployment, Interaction term=model × evaluation2026.05-0.4750.211-2.250.025
Phi-3.5-miniReference Model=OLMo-3-Instruct, Frame Reference=deployment, Interaction term=model × evaluation2026.05-0.5410.231-2.340.019
Mistral-Small-3.2Reference Model=OLMo-3-Instruct, Frame Reference=deployment, Interaction term=model × evaluation2026.05-0.7910.225-3.520.001
Llama-3.1-8BReference Model=OLMo-3-Instruct, Frame Reference=deployment, Interaction term=model × evaluation2026.05-1.1540.157-7.360.001