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Reasoning on MATH (AUROC/FPR95)

0.8495AUROCTRACED
0.094980.2908650.486750.682635Jan 28, 2026Feb 4, 2026Feb 11, 2026Feb 18, 2026Feb 25, 2026Mar 4, 2026Mar 11, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
TRACEDModel=Qwen3-4B-Thinking-25072026.030.84950.7250.8422
SAPLMAModel=Qwen3-4B-Thinking-25072026.030.84380.75720.8406
KV-CoE-CModel=Qwen2-7B-Instruct2026.010.84120.4482—
LR ProbeModel=Qwen3-4B-Thinking-25072026.030.79060.750.8344
KV-CoE-RModel=Qwen2-7B-Instruct2026.010.76920.4983—
CoE-CModel=Qwen2-7B-Instruct2026.010.76680.6448—
CoE-RModel=Qwen2-7B-Instruct2026.010.75750.6595—
CoEModel=Qwen3-4B-Thinking-25072026.030.750.75420.8411
TRACEDModel=DeepSeek-R1-Llama-8B2026.030.74890.750.6549
LR ProbeModel=DeepSeek-R1-Llama-8B2026.030.74710.86250.6541
CoE-CModel=Llama3-8B2026.010.73080.796—
TRACEDModel=Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct2026.030.73050.8280.7859
LR ProbeModel=Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct2026.030.72580.83780.7349
CoE-RModel=Llama3-8B2026.010.72540.7561—
SAPLMAModel=DeepSeek-R1-Llama-8B2026.030.71610.80.6363
SAPLMAModel=Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct2026.030.70030.83840.7538
CoT-KineticsModel=DeepSeek-R1-Llama-8B2026.030.67550.79330.6271
KV-CoE-RModel=Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct2026.010.64360.6382—
KV-CoE-CModel=Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct2026.010.64130.6742—
TRACEDModel=Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct2026.030.63630.80.6265
LR ProbeModel=Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct2026.030.63620.86670.6025
MSPModel=DeepSeek-R1-Llama-8B2026.030.62760.81250.6203
EntropyModel=Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct2026.010.62740.8414—
SAPLMAModel=Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct2026.030.61950.83330.6046
CoEModel=DeepSeek-R1-Llama-8B2026.030.61560.88120.6332
PerplexityModel=Qwen3-4B-Thinking-25072026.030.60940.7650.5602
PPLModel=Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct2026.010.60820.8642—
EntropyModel=DeepSeek-R1-Llama-8B2026.030.60410.88750.5921
MaxProbModel=Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct2026.010.59160.8796—
EntropyModel=Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct2026.030.58220.83330.5795
PerplexityModel=DeepSeek-R1-Llama-8B2026.030.58080.86880.5628
MSPModel=Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct2026.030.57770.81670.6196
CoEModel=Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct2026.030.55860.88630.6308
PerplexityModel=Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct2026.030.55670.83170.6053
CoT-KineticsModel=Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct2026.030.54420.83860.5223
CoEModel=Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct2026.030.53730.83330.5193
PerplexityModel=Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct2026.030.53390.850.5197
EntropyModel=Qwen3-4B-Thinking-25072026.030.53120.7370.5285
MSPModel=Qwen3-4B-Thinking-25072026.030.48440.750.5592
MSPModel=Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct2026.030.48280.88330.5201
EntropyModel=Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct2026.030.48170.88420.52
CoT-KineticsModel=Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct2026.030.43670.84670.4991
CoT-KineticsModel=Qwen3-4B-Thinking-25072026.030.42190.850.5
EntropyModel=Qwen2-7B-Instruct2026.010.16190.9942—
PPLModel=Qwen2-7B-Instruct2026.010.12430.995—
MaxProbModel=Qwen2-7B-Instruct2026.010.1240.9934—
H4-Qwen2.5-PRM-1.5B-0.2# Sample=369K, Category=PRMs 150x Larger than ReProbes2025.11——0.174
Math-Shepherd-PRM-7B# Sample=440K, Category=PRMs 750x to 810x Larger than ReProbes2025.11——0.248
MaxEntropy# Sample=-, Category=Unsupervised Uncertainty Quantification (UQ)2025.11——0.112
MaxProb# Sample=-, Category=Unsupervised Uncertainty Quantification (UQ)2025.11——0.127
Perplexity# Sample=-, Category=Unsupervised Uncertainty Quantification (UQ)2025.11——0.117
Qwen2.5-Math-7B# Sample=860K, Category=PRMs 750x to 810x Larger than ReProbes2025.11——0.427
Qwen2.5-Math-7B-PRM800k# Sample=265K, Category=PRMs 750x to 810x Larger than ReProbes2025.11——0.474
Random# Sample=-, Category=Unsupervised Uncertainty Quantification (UQ)2025.11——0.106
ReProbe, Attn+Logit, Qwen3-8B-anno# Sample=32K, Category=Reasoning Probes (ReProbes)2025.11——0.404
RLHFlow-PRM-Deepseek-8B# Sample=253K, Category=PRMs 750x to 810x Larger than ReProbes2025.11——0.2
RLHFlow-PRM-Mistral-8B# Sample=273K, Category=PRMs 750x to 810x Larger than ReProbes2025.11——0.141
Skywork-PRM-1.5B# Sample=Unk, Category=PRMs 150x Larger than ReProbes2025.11——0.219
Universal-PRM-Qwen2.5-Math-7B# Sample=690K, Category=PRMs 750x to 810x Larger than ReProbes2025.11——0.485