Probabilistic time series forecasting on Bitcoin, COVID-19, and Synthetic Average (test) benchmark leaderboard · SOTA2 Research

Probabilistic time series forecasting on Bitcoin, COVID-19, and Synthetic Average (test)

0.266CRPSDeepAR

Evaluation Results

Method	Links
DeepAR2026.05		0.266	0.479	0.191	0.109	0.745	0.885	0.965
DeepAR2026.05		0.268	0.494	0.194	0.114	0.742	0.881	0.961
DeepAR2026.05		0.271	0.502	0.198	0.123	0.734	0.876	0.954
DeepAR2026.05		0.286	0.528	0.214	0.097	0.752	0.878	0.951
DeepLévy2026.05		0.293	0.461	0.219	0.126	0.738	0.889	0.976
ProbTransformer2026.05		0.298	0.537	0.231	0.099	0.752	0.874	0.948
DeepLévy2026.05		0.301	0.479	0.228	0.138	0.731	0.884	0.969
DeepAR2026.05		0.302	0.551	0.233	0.108	0.747	0.872	0.943
DeepAR2026.05		0.317	0.583	0.249	0.091	0.755	0.861	0.932
DSSM2026.05		0.322	0.594	0.251	0.137	0.739	0.867	0.937
DeepFactor2026.05		0.329	0.611	0.258	0.149	0.725	0.851	0.924
DeepVAR2026.05		0.338	0.627	0.264	0.152	0.728	0.853	0.921