Probabilistic power forecasting on Belgian offshore wind farm 2025 (test)
34.01Quantile Loss (q=0.1) [MW]QR
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QRForecast Source=Combination (Oracle)2025.10 | 34.01 | 76.84 | 36.72 | |
| RQRForecast Source=Combination, Missingness Rate=5%2025.10 | 34.25 | 78.5 | 37.18 | |
| RQRForecast Source=Combination, Missingness Rate=10%2025.10 | 34.61 | 79.74 | 37.36 | |
| RQRForecast Source=Combination, Missingness Rate=20%2025.10 | 35.47 | 82.51 | 39.34 | |
| XGBForecast Source=ECMWF2025.10 | 36.19 | 82.38 | 43.92 | |
| MLPForecast Source=ECMWF2025.10 | 37.18 | 85.45 | 41.05 | |
| QRFForecast Source=ECMWF2025.10 | 37.76 | 86.68 | 45.78 | |
| MLPForecast Source=DWD2025.10 | 38.13 | 90.36 | 44.48 | |
| XGBForecast Source=DWD2025.10 | 38.43 | 91.55 | 48.12 | |
| XGBForecast Source=NOAA2025.10 | 38.66 | 95.96 | 50.79 | |
| MLPForecast Source=NOAA2025.10 | 40.13 | 96.98 | 49.14 | |
| QRFForecast Source=DWD2025.10 | 40.14 | 96.4 | 49.59 | |
| QRFForecast Source=NOAA2025.10 | 41.11 | 100.42 | 52.24 |