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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Probabilistic Forecasting on ETT Avg ProbTS

0.231CRPSSundial
0.220520.291260.3620.43274Sep 26, 2025Oct 9, 2025Oct 23, 2025Nov 5, 2025Nov 19, 2025Dec 2, 2025Dec 16, 2025
Updated 8mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
Sundialmode=zero-shot2025.120.2310.273
AuroraType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.090.2310.257
SundialType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.090.2310.273
FLAME Smallmode=zero-shot, size=Small2025.120.2350.293
FLAME Largemode=zero-shot, size=Large2025.120.2360.295
FLAME Basemode=zero-shot, size=Base2025.120.250.317
Lag-Llamamode=zero-shot2025.120.2730.31
Lag-LlamaType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.090.2730.31
Chronosmode=zero-shot2025.120.290.316
ChronosType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.090.290.316
CSDImode=zero-shot2025.120.3040.389
CSDIType=Full-shot Probabilistic End-to-end Supervised Models2025.090.3040.389
MOIRAImode=zero-shot2025.120.3660.377
MOIRAIType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.090.3660.377
TSDiffmode=zero-shot2025.120.370.465
TSDiffType=Full-shot Probabilistic End-to-end Supervised Models2025.090.370.465
GRU MAFType=Full-shot Probabilistic End-to-end Supervised Models2025.090.3880.475
GRU NVPmode=zero-shot2025.120.4760.605
TimeGradmode=zero-shot2025.120.4930.619
TimeGradType=Full-shot Probabilistic End-to-end Supervised Models2025.090.4930.619