Probabilistic Forecasting on ETT Avg ProbTS
0.231CRPSSundial
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sundialmode=zero-shot2025.12 | 0.231 | 0.273 | |
| AuroraType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.09 | 0.231 | 0.257 | |
| SundialType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.09 | 0.231 | 0.273 | |
| FLAME Smallmode=zero-shot, size=Small2025.12 | 0.235 | 0.293 | |
| FLAME Largemode=zero-shot, size=Large2025.12 | 0.236 | 0.295 | |
| FLAME Basemode=zero-shot, size=Base2025.12 | 0.25 | 0.317 | |
| Lag-Llamamode=zero-shot2025.12 | 0.273 | 0.31 | |
| Lag-LlamaType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.09 | 0.273 | 0.31 | |
| Chronosmode=zero-shot2025.12 | 0.29 | 0.316 | |
| ChronosType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.09 | 0.29 | 0.316 | |
| CSDImode=zero-shot2025.12 | 0.304 | 0.389 | |
| CSDIType=Full-shot Probabilistic End-to-end Supervised Models2025.09 | 0.304 | 0.389 | |
| MOIRAImode=zero-shot2025.12 | 0.366 | 0.377 | |
| MOIRAIType=Zero-shot Foundation Models2025.09 | 0.366 | 0.377 | |
| TSDiffmode=zero-shot2025.12 | 0.37 | 0.465 | |
| TSDiffType=Full-shot Probabilistic End-to-end Supervised Models2025.09 | 0.37 | 0.465 | |
| GRU MAFType=Full-shot Probabilistic End-to-end Supervised Models2025.09 | 0.388 | 0.475 | |
| GRU NVPmode=zero-shot2025.12 | 0.476 | 0.605 | |
| TimeGradmode=zero-shot2025.12 | 0.493 | 0.619 | |
| TimeGradType=Full-shot Probabilistic End-to-end Supervised Models2025.09 | 0.493 | 0.619 |