Precipitation Nowcasting on SEVIR (test)
63.12CSI (16)SpanLift (Inc., target)
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpanLift (Inc., target)Steps=5, Loss=Inception-based, Supervision=target2026.06 | 63.12 | — | — | — | — | — | 42.11 | 60.09 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30.65 | 47.97 | |
| DDPMSteps=10002026.06 | 61.33 | — | — | — | — | — | 39.72 | 54.22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32.1 | 44.95 | |
| SpanLift (Inc., teacher)Steps=5, Loss=Inception-based, Supervision=teacher2026.06 | 60.79 | — | — | — | — | — | 40.5 | 46.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32.39 | 45.6 | |
| PixelFlowCastTime (s)=0.589, Forecast horizon=3 hours, Sampling steps (N)=102026.05 | 60.41 | 45.52 | 15.41 | 6.36 | 4.7 | 2.39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 67.01 | 57.47 | 24.34 | 10.79 | 8.09 | 4.29 | — | — | |
| DDIM (teacher)Steps=1002026.06 | 60.34 | — | — | — | — | — | 38.22 | 53.73 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 31.99 | 44.19 | |
| PW-FouCastType=Multimodal2026.03 | 60.23 | 49 | 25.58 | 15.11 | 11.63 | 6.28 | 27.97 | 37.57 | 676.6416 | 12.5787 | 24.1511 | 57.89 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SpanLift (MSE, teacher)Steps=5, Loss=MSE, Supervision=teacher2026.06 | 59.92 | — | — | — | — | — | 38.57 | 52.55 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32.61 | 44.31 | |
| PredRNN v2Type=Unimodal2026.03 | 59.22 | 47.57 | 20.71 | 11.79 | 8.79 | 3.71 | 25.3 | 33.76 | 692.4151 | 12.8557 | 23.5778 | 56.75 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AFNOType=Unimodal2026.03 | 58.58 | 48.04 | 23.11 | 12.86 | 9.83 | 4.69 | 26.18 | 35.02 | 740.2969 | 13.217 | 23.7374 | 55.76 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| FlowCastTime (s)=0.788, Forecast horizon=3 hours2026.05 | 58.32 | 35.52 | 3.88 | 1.85 | 1.29 | 0.48 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 64.63 | 47.27 | 6.71 | 3.35 | 2.37 | 0.91 | — | — | |
| CM-STjointNetType=Multimodal2026.03 | 58.25 | 47.78 | 21.88 | 12.18 | 8.94 | 4.68 | 25.62 | 34.2 | 715.5997 | 13.3922 | 23.652 | 54.07 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| EarthformerType=Unimodal2026.03 | 58.24 | 48.46 | 23.46 | 13 | 9.51 | 4.41 | 26.18 | 34.89 | 717.5891 | 13.5044 | 23.7495 | 54.59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| NowcastNetType=Unimodal2026.03 | 58.03 | 46.42 | 22 | 12.34 | 9.11 | 4.44 | 25.39 | 34.02 | 750.2669 | 13.3689 | 23.6842 | 55.95 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| TAUType=Unimodal2026.03 | 57.67 | 47.5 | 23.28 | 12.23 | 8.34 | 3.76 | 25.46 | 33.88 | 739.1168 | 13.5212 | 23.5635 | 55.03 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| SimVP v2Type=Unimodal2026.03 | 57.47 | 43.19 | 18.06 | 9.82 | 6.95 | 2.99 | 23.08 | 30.85 | 735.3561 | 13.3449 | 23.706 | 54.88 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AlphaPreType=Unimodal2026.03 | 57.37 | 47.39 | 22.66 | 11.76 | 7.9 | 3.49 | 25.1 | 33.35 | 744.8281 | 13.7112 | 23.6576 | 52.86 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| LightNetType=Multimodal2026.03 | 56.97 | 46.27 | 19.74 | 9.18 | 5.74 | 1.69 | 23.26 | 30.53 | 725.6782 | 13.867 | 23.5267 | 52.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| MM-RNNType=Multimodal2026.03 | 56.79 | 45.82 | 20.52 | 9.45 | 6.35 | 2.31 | 23.54 | 31.12 | 750.6046 | 13.7483 | 23.4178 | 53.74 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| LMC-MemoryType=Unimodal2026.03 | 56.43 | 45.86 | 19.12 | 9.97 | 7.28 | 3.05 | 23.62 | 31.36 | 744.8522 | 13.7543 | 23.5571 | 54.45 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DiffCastTime (s)=11.556, Forecast horizon=3 hours2026.05 | 56.35 | 41.63 | 13.2 | 5.44 | 3.81 | 1.72 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 62.95 | 53.47 | 21.31 | 9.48 | 6.77 | 3.21 | — | — | |
| PastNetType=Unimodal2026.03 | 55.51 | 46.16 | 20.44 | 11.14 | 8 | 4.19 | 24.24 | 32.36 | 718.3476 | 14.9068 | 22.7698 | 39.05 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DDIMSteps=52026.06 | 51.37 | — | — | — | — | — | 38.97 | 53.76 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 34.29 | 42.61 | |
| PreDiffTime (s)=112.339, Forecast horizon=3 hours2026.05 | 28.74 | 16.35 | 6.57 | 3.5 | 2.68 | 1.38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 33.25 | 21.93 | 10.36 | 5.97 | 4.63 | 2.47 | — | — |