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Post-blackout Forecasting on Seattle Inductive Loop Detector 2015 (val)

4.313RMSE (1-step, mph)MNAR (LDS)
4.136165.329836.52357.71717Jan 4, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
MNAR (LDS)K=20, EM iterations=20 (10 warm-start + 10 MNAR updated)2026.014.3134.2285.104
MAR (LDS)K=20, EM iterations=102026.014.3914.3495.16
LOCF2026.017.868.4658.942
LinearInterp + SeasonalNaive2026.018.7348.4428.881