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Persona classification on Reddit Truncated History Phase 2 (test)

73.7Macro F1 ScoreSNPC
12.44428.34744.2560.153Jun 22, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
SNPCTruncation n=30, Features=30, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,0232026.0673.7
SNPCTruncation n=20, Features=30, Evaluation cohort size (N)=9232026.0669.5
SNPCTruncation n=10, Features=30, Evaluation cohort size (N)=6962026.0657.4
M3: SS-only (Bayesian accumulator)Truncation n=30, Features=Ind, Evaluation cohort size (N)=5312026.0656.6
M3: SS-only (Bayesian accumulator)Truncation n=20, Features=Ind, Evaluation cohort size (N)=7052026.0652.4
M2: SS-conditional (Bayesian accumulator)Truncation n=30, Features=Ind, Evaluation cohort size (N)=5312026.0652
SNPCTruncation n=3, Features=30, Evaluation cohort size (N)=3352026.0650.6
SNPCTruncation n=5, Features=30, Evaluation cohort size (N)=4622026.0649.8
Best combo (SS-cond.) (ABCD+SVM)Truncation n=30, Features=40fSS, Evaluation cohort size (N)=5312026.0649.5
M2: SS-conditional (Bayesian accumulator)Truncation n=20, Features=Ind, Evaluation cohort size (N)=7052026.0648.7
Best combo (ACD+RF/ABD+SVM)Truncation n=30, Features=40f, Evaluation cohort size (N)=5312026.0647.6
Best combo (SS-cond.) (ABCD+SVM)Truncation n=20, Features=40fSS, Evaluation cohort size (N)=7052026.0646.9
M3: SS-only (Bayesian accumulator)Truncation n=10, Features=Ind, Evaluation cohort size (N)=9442026.0643.6
M2: SS-conditional (Bayesian accumulator)Truncation n=10, Features=Ind, Evaluation cohort size (N)=9442026.0641.8
Best combo (ACD+RF/ABD+SVM)Truncation n=20, Features=40f, Evaluation cohort size (N)=7052026.0640
Best combo (SS-cond.) (ABCD+SVM)Truncation n=10, Features=40fSS, Evaluation cohort size (N)=9442026.0639.5
M2: SS-conditional (Bayesian accumulator)Truncation n=5, Features=Ind, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,0982026.0636.9
Few-shot LLM (gpt-5.4-nano, SS-only)Truncation n=5, Features=raw text, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,0982026.0636
M3: SS-only (Bayesian accumulator)Truncation n=5, Features=Ind, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,0982026.0635.9
Few-shot LLM (gpt-5.4-nano, SS-only)Truncation n=30, Features=raw text, Evaluation cohort size (N)=5312026.0635.8
Few-shot LLM (gpt-5.4-nano, SS-only)Truncation n=20, Features=raw text, Evaluation cohort size (N)=7052026.0635
Few-shot LLM (gpt-5.4-nano, SS-only)Truncation n=3, Features=raw text, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,1642026.0634.6
Best combo (ACD+RF/ABD+SVM)Truncation n=10, Features=40f, Evaluation cohort size (N)=9442026.0634.4
Best combo (SS-cond.) (ABCD+SVM)Truncation n=5, Features=40fSS, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,0982026.0634.4
Few-shot LLM (gpt-5.4-nano, SS-only)Truncation n=10, Features=raw text, Evaluation cohort size (N)=9442026.0633.9
M1: uniform (Bayesian accumulator)Truncation n=30, Features=Ind, Evaluation cohort size (N)=5312026.0632.4
Best combo (ACD+RF/ABD+SVM)Truncation n=5, Features=40f, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,0982026.0631.5
M2: SS-conditional (Bayesian accumulator)Truncation n=3, Features=Ind, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,1642026.0631.4
M1: uniform (Bayesian accumulator)Truncation n=20, Features=Ind, Evaluation cohort size (N)=7052026.0630.9
Best combo (SS-cond.) (ABCD+SVM)Truncation n=3, Features=40fSS, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,1642026.0630.4
Few-shot LLM (gpt-5.4-nano, All posts)Truncation n=30, Features=raw text, Evaluation cohort size (N)=5312026.0629.9
Best combo (ACD+RF/ABD+SVM)Truncation n=3, Features=40f, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,1642026.0629.7
SNPCTruncation n=1, Features=30, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1252026.0629.6
M3: SS-only (Bayesian accumulator)Truncation n=3, Features=Ind, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,1642026.0629.2
Few-shot LLM (gpt-5.4-nano, All posts)Truncation n=5, Features=raw text, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,0982026.0629.1
Few-shot LLM (gpt-5.4-nano, All posts)Truncation n=20, Features=raw text, Evaluation cohort size (N)=7052026.0629
Few-shot LLM (gpt-5.4-nano, All posts)Truncation n=3, Features=raw text, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,1642026.0628
Few-shot LLM (gpt-5.4-nano, All posts)Truncation n=10, Features=raw text, Evaluation cohort size (N)=9442026.0627.4
Best combo (ACD+RF/ABD+SVM)Truncation n=1, Features=40f, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,1742026.0627.3
Few-shot LLM (gpt-5.4-nano, SS-only)Truncation n=1, Features=raw text, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,1742026.0627.1
Few-shot LLM (gpt-5.4-nano, All posts)Truncation n=1, Features=raw text, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,1742026.0626.3
M1: uniform (Bayesian accumulator)Truncation n=10, Features=Ind, Evaluation cohort size (N)=9442026.0624.7
M2: SS-conditional (Bayesian accumulator)Truncation n=1, Features=Ind, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,1742026.0623.4
M1: uniform (Bayesian accumulator)Truncation n=5, Features=Ind, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,0982026.0623.1
M1: uniform (Bayesian accumulator)Truncation n=3, Features=Ind, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,1642026.0621.5
M1: uniform (Bayesian accumulator)Truncation n=1, Features=Ind, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,1742026.0621.4
Best combo (SS-cond.) (ABCD+SVM)Truncation n=1, Features=40fSS, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,1742026.0617.5
M3: SS-only (Bayesian accumulator)Truncation n=1, Features=Ind, Evaluation cohort size (N)=1,1742026.0616.5
Majority (predict P0)Truncation n=1, Features=—2026.0615.8
Majority (predict P0)Truncation n=3, Features=—2026.0615.8
Majority (predict P0)Truncation n=5, Features=—2026.0615.8
Majority (predict P0)Truncation n=10, Features=—2026.0615.5
Majority (predict P0)Truncation n=20, Features=—2026.0615
Majority (predict P0)Truncation n=30, Features=—2026.0614.8