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Performance Prediction on ARC 1.2k (test)

1.14MAEMetabench
1.00361.92432.8453.7657Oct 9, 2025

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
MetabenchSelection=Best for val., Prediction=ability-IRT2025.101.140.971
DISCOSelection=High PDS, Prediction=Sig. + RF2025.101.470.971
Model signatureSelection=Random, Prediction=Sig. + RF2025.101.720.938
DISCOSelection=High JSD, Prediction=Sig. + RF2025.101.750.938
DISCOSelection=High PDS, Prediction=Sig. + kNN2025.101.960.937
DISCOSelection=High JSD, Prediction=Sig. + kNN2025.102.110.939
tinyBenchmarksSelection=Anchor-corr, Prediction=gp-IRT2025.102.180.948
tinyBenchmarksSelection=Random, Prediction=gp-IRT2025.102.220.921
Model signatureSelection=Random, Prediction=Sig. + kNN2025.102.30.905
BaselineSelection=Random, Prediction=Direct eval.2025.102.610.898
tinyBenchmarksSelection=Anchor-IRT, Prediction=gp-IRT2025.104.550.708