ResearchBenchmarksOpponent Escalation Prediction on Combined Tournament (All tournament games)Opponent Escalation Prediction on Combined Tournament (All tournament games)Follow85MAEClaude82.4499.72117134.28Feb 16, 2026Evaluation resultsMethodMethodLinksMAEBiasExact (±50)Severe UnderClaudeN=~190N=~1902026.0285-66,600600GPT-5.2N=~280N=~2802026.0297435,9001,100GeminiN=~180N=~1802026.02149-555,100800