One-step-ahead prediction on EMA (down item) (held-out last 12 beeps per participant)
1.244Mean Log-LikelihoodGroup-only DTVEM
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group-only DTVEM2026.06 | 1.244 | 597.26 | 0.832 | |
| Hierarchical simplebaseline_style=mlVAR-style2026.06 | 1.238 | 594.25 | 0.827 | |
| Naive per-personImplementation=Naive per-person DTVEM/OLS2026.06 | 1.235 | 592.83 | 0.83 | |
| DTVEM-RE (full)2026.06 | 1.233 | 591.81 | 0.827 |