Next-event delay time prediction on MBTA delay times
0.67Next-event RMSEHawkes Point Process model
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |
|---|---|---|
| Hawkes Point Process modelmu_hat (baseline rate)=0.438, alpha_hat (triggering magnitude)=1.884, beta_hat (decay rate)=2.087, n_hat (branching ratio)=0.90, tau_1/2 (half-life)=0.33 h2025.12 | 0.67 |