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Negotiation performance and belief calibration on CaSiNo native (held-out dialogues)

0.947Accept-F170B structured-CoT
0.8950.90850.9220.9355May 6, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
70B structured-CoTModel scale=70B, Protocol=Protocol 3, Self-consistency samples (n)=5, Temperature=0.7, Posterior type=majority-vote shares2026.050.9470.8150.160.194
Distilled 8B studentModel scale=8B, Protocol=Protocol 3, Posterior type=native single-pass2026.050.9080.9150.190.114
Bayesian teacherProtocol=Protocol 3, Posterior type=native single-pass2026.050.8970.7440.0480.085