Multimodal Forecasting on Time-MMD
26.9Performance (Agri.)Chronicle Stage 1 (ZS)
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chronicle Stage 1 (ZS)Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot, Stage=12026.05 | 26.9 | 1.903 | 24.7 | 44.4 | 1.397 | 1.061 | 1.222 | 81.7 | 1.052 | 1.04 | 13.44 | |
| Chronicle Stage 2 (ZS)Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot, Stage=22026.05 | 22.2 | 0.89 | 10 | 64.8 | 1.27 | 1.49 | 1.082 | 51.9 | 0.386 | 0.835 | 11.89 | |
| GPT2+Chronos-2TS encoder=frozen, text encoder=frozen, Head=trained fusion head2026.05 | 21.3 | 0.894 | 10.3 | 50.5 | 0.494 | 1.273 | 1.616 | 52.3 | 0.386 | 0.712 | 12.22 | |
| BERT+Chronos-2TS encoder=frozen, text encoder=frozen, Head=trained fusion head2026.05 | 21.1 | 0.894 | 10.3 | 50.5 | 0.493 | 1.274 | 1.7 | 52.7 | 0.386 | 0.719 | 12.78 | |
| GPT2+PatchTSTTS encoder=trainable, text encoder=frozen, Head=trained MLP2026.05 | 19.5 | 0.884 | 7.6 | 44.9 | 0.465 | 0.794 | 1.772 | 56.2 | 0.209 | 0.627 | 9 | |
| BERT+PatchTSTTS encoder=trainable, text encoder=frozen, Head=trained MLP2026.05 | 19.4 | 0.902 | 7.5 | 45.9 | 0.452 | 0.825 | 2.179 | 52.6 | 0.22 | 0.666 | 10.22 | |
| BERT+TimesFMTS encoder=frozen, text encoder=frozen, Head=trained fusion head2026.05 | 19 | 0.881 | 7.1 | 40.3 | 0.491 | 0.765 | 1.686 | 44.1 | 0.228 | 0.601 | 6.11 | |
| GPT2+Moirai-2TS encoder=frozen, text encoder=frozen, Head=trained fusion head2026.05 | 18.9 | 0.878 | 7.3 | 44.8 | 0.514 | 0.785 | 1.394 | 45.3 | 0.223 | 0.588 | 6.44 | |
| GPT2+TimesFMTS encoder=frozen, text encoder=frozen, Head=trained fusion head2026.05 | 18.7 | 0.878 | 7.9 | 39.6 | 0.491 | 0.777 | 1.575 | 47.1 | 0.229 | 0.595 | 6.89 | |
| BERT+TimesNetTS encoder=trainable, text encoder=frozen, Head=trained MLP2026.05 | 18.6 | 0.913 | 7.3 | 43.7 | 0.438 | 0.818 | 1.707 | 53.5 | 0.226 | 0.621 | 8.56 | |
| BERT+Moirai-2TS encoder=frozen, text encoder=frozen, Head=trained fusion head2026.05 | 18.5 | 0.873 | 7.3 | 45.3 | 0.507 | 0.79 | 1.413 | 46.4 | 0.227 | 0.591 | 6.89 | |
| GPT2+DLinearTS encoder=trainable, text encoder=frozen, Head=trained MLP2026.05 | 18.4 | 0.89 | 7.3 | 42.4 | 0.447 | 0.79 | 1.871 | 52.3 | 0.225 | 0.626 | 6.78 | |
| Chronicle Stage 1 (LP)Evaluation Protocol=Linear Probing, Stage=12026.05 | 18.4 | 0.894 | 7.4 | 39 | 0.417 | 0.697 | 1.058 | 41.3 | 0.247 | 0.524 | 5 | |
| BERT+DLinearTS encoder=trainable, text encoder=frozen, Head=trained MLP2026.05 | 18.1 | 0.901 | 6.9 | 40.9 | 0.447 | 0.839 | 2.067 | 49.9 | 0.241 | 0.648 | 7.44 | |
| GPT2+TimesNetTS encoder=trainable, text encoder=frozen, Head=trained MLP2026.05 | 18.1 | 0.924 | 7.6 | 46.4 | 0.45 | 0.833 | 1.78 | 59.1 | 0.211 | 0.64 | 9.78 | |
| Chronicle Stage 2 (LP)Evaluation Protocol=Linear Probing, Stage=22026.05 | 18.1 | 0.875 | 7 | 37 | 0.41 | 0.69 | 1.056 | 39.9 | 0.245 | 0.514 | 2.56 |