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Long-term Time Series Forecasting on ETTh1 (MSE, MAE, DTW, TDI)

0.388MSELightGTS-mini
0.380720.429860.4790.52814Aug 7, 2025Sep 24, 2025Nov 12, 2025Dec 30, 2025Feb 17, 2026Apr 6, 2026May 25, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
LightGTS-mini2025.080.3880.419——
FlowStateModel parameters=10.6M, Context length=4k, Zero-shot=true2025.080.3930.403——
STaTAveraged forecasting horizons T={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.050.4010.4176.7970.065
Time-VLMAveraged forecasting horizons T={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.050.4050.427.4160.07
Time-LLMAveraged forecasting horizons T={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.050.4080.4247.2730.086
PatchTSTAveraged forecasting horizons T={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.050.4130.4317.3690.087
DLinearAveraged forecasting horizons T={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.050.4230.4377.2580.084
GPT4TSAveraged forecasting horizons T={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.050.4280.4266.9750.072
FEDformerAveraged forecasting horizons T={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.050.440.467.5510.081
iTransformer2025.080.4540.448——
TimesNetAveraged forecasting horizons T={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.050.4580.458.0880.103
PatchTST2025.080.4690.455——
MOIRAI-L2025.080.510.469——
TimeCMAAveraged forecasting horizons T={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.050.5270.4787.5070.072
StationaryAveraged forecasting horizons T={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.050.570.5378.7210.123