Long-term forecasting on Solar
0.191MSEDMSC
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| DMSCPrediction Length=96, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.191 | 0.237 | |
| SE-LLMInput length=672, Forecast horizon={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.08 | 0.192 | 0.242 | |
| TimeAlignPrediction Length (O)=Avg2025.09 | 0.192 | 0.214 | |
| GTRLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.194 | 0.245 | |
| TimeMixer++Input length=672, Forecast horizon={96, 192, 336, 720}, Year=20252025.08 | 0.194 | 0.256 | |
| AutoTimesstrategy=one-for-all, context length=6722024.02 | 0.197 | 0.242 | |
| TQNetLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.198 | 0.256 | |
| TPCHorizons=Average of {96, 192, 336, 720}, Backbone=GPT-2 small2026.02 | 0.201 | 0.255 | |
| PatchTSTstrategy=one-for-all, input length=672, output length=962024.02 | 0.202 | 0.269 | |
| PatchTSTHorizons=Average of {96, 192, 336, 720}, Backbone=GPT-2 small2026.02 | 0.202 | 0.269 | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length=96, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.204 | 0.238 | |
| AutoTimes-GPT2Input length=672, Forecast horizon={96, 192, 336, 720}, Year=20242025.08 | 0.207 | 0.246 | |
| TimeMixerPrediction Length=96, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.207 | 0.259 | |
| AutoTimesHorizons=Average of {96, 192, 336, 720}, Backbone=GPT-2 small2026.02 | 0.209 | 0.258 | |
| DMSCPrediction Length=Avg, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.209 | 0.256 | |
| CycleNetLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.21 | 0.261 | |
| DMSCPrediction Length=336, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.211 | 0.262 | |
| iTrans.strategy=one-for-all, input length=672, output length=962024.02 | 0.213 | 0.291 | |
| TimesNetstrategy=one-for-all, input length=672, output length=962024.02 | 0.213 | 0.295 | |
| iTransFormerInput length=672, Forecast horizon={96, 192, 336, 720}, Year=20242025.08 | 0.213 | 0.291 | |
| TimeMixerLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.216 | 0.28 | |
| TimeMixerLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.216 | 0.28 | |
| DMSCPrediction Length=720, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.217 | 0.265 | |
| DMSCPrediction Length=192, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.218 | 0.261 | |
| TimesNetPrediction Length=96, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.22 | 0.256 | |
| DLinearstrategy=one-for-all, input length=672, output length=962024.02 | 0.222 | 0.283 | |
| DLinearHorizons=Average of {96, 192, 336, 720}, Backbone=GPT-2 small2026.02 | 0.222 | 0.283 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=96, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.222 | 0.276 | |
| DLinearPrediction Length (O)=Avg2025.09 | 0.224 | 0.226 | |
| Time-CMAInput length=672, Forecast horizon={96, 192, 336, 720}, Year=20252025.08 | 0.227 | 0.276 | |
| SOFTSLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.229 | 0.256 | |
| TQNetInput length=672, Forecast horizon={96, 192, 336, 720}, Year=20252025.08 | 0.23 | 0.27 | |
| iTransformerLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.233 | 0.262 | |
| iTransformerLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.233 | 0.262 | |
| Time-LLMInput length=672, Forecast horizon={96, 192, 336, 720}, Year=20242025.08 | 0.234 | 0.293 | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length=Avg, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.235 | 0.262 | |
| FPTstrategy=one-for-all, input length=672, output length=962024.02 | 0.236 | 0.303 | |
| CARDLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.237 | 0.239 | |
| TimeXerLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.237 | 0.302 | |
| TimeMixerPrediction Length=Avg, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.237 | 0.279 | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length=192, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.238 | 0.262 | |
| TimeMixerPrediction Length=720, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.238 | 0.285 | |
| xPatchLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.239 | 0.236 | |
| S-MambaLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.24 | 0.273 | |
| S2IP-LLMHorizons=Average of {96, 192, 336, 720}, Backbone=GPT-2 small2026.02 | 0.243 | 0.27 | |
| TimeMixerPrediction Length=192, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.25 | 0.296 | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length=336, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.25 | 0.274 | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length=720, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.25 | 0.275 | |
| TimeMixerPrediction Length=336, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.252 | 0.278 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=192, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.253 | 0.296 | |
| PatchTSTLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.254 | 0.289 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=Avg, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.256 | 0.296 | |
| TimesNetPrediction Length=192, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.26 | 0.279 | |
| TimesNetPrediction Length=Avg, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.262 | 0.282 | |
| TimeLLMstrategy=one-for-all, input length=672, output length=962024.02 | 0.263 | 0.335 | |
| OFAHorizons=Average of {96, 192, 336, 720}, Backbone=GPT-2 small2026.02 | 0.263 | 0.335 | |
| TimeLLMHorizons=Average of {96, 192, 336, 720}, Backbone=GPT-2 small2026.02 | 0.263 | 0.335 | |
| PatchTSTLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.27 | 0.307 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=336, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.273 | 0.306 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Length=720, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.275 | 0.305 | |
| MICNLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.283 | 0.358 | |
| TimesNetPrediction Length=336, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.285 | 0.294 | |
| TimesNetPrediction Length=720, Look-back Window=962025.08 | 0.285 | 0.301 | |
| TimesNetLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.301 | 0.319 | |
| RAFTLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.301 | 0.303 | |
| DLinearLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.327 | 0.398 | |
| DLinearLook-back length T=96, Forecasting horizons S={96, 192, 336, 720}2026.02 | 0.33 | 0.401 | |
| RLinearLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.369 | 0.357 | |
| UniTimestrategy=one-for-all, input length=672, output length=962024.02 | 0.392 | 0.462 | |
| ETSformerLookback window (L)=96, Prediction lengths (T)={96, 192, 336, 720}2024.12 | 0.603 | 0.615 |