Long-term forecasting on ETTm1
0.0022MSEFLUID |Main|
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| FLUID |Main|Connectivity=HCliquid x4, Top-K=8, Gsink=Enabled2026.05 | 0.0022 | — | |
| ContiFormer2026.05 | 0.0026 | — | |
| PerFormer2026.05 | 0.0027 | — | |
| DeepState2026.05 | 0.0032 | — | |
| SDPA-Transformer2026.05 | 0.0043 | — | |
| LinFormer2026.05 | 0.0087 | — | |
| CT-RNN2026.05 | 0.0158 | — | |
| KOSSPrediction Horizon (T)=962025.12 | 0.215 | 0.224 | |
| KOSSPrediction Horizon (T)=1922025.12 | 0.23 | 0.237 | |
| TimeAlignPrediction Length (O)=962025.09 | 0.279 | 0.33 | |
| TSMixer + xCPDBackbone=TSMixer, Forecasting Horizon=962026.03 | 0.28 | 0.334 | |
| GTMPred_len=962025.02 | 0.282 | 0.341 | |
| GTMT=962025.02 | 0.282 | 0.341 | |
| Time-MOE-bPred_len=962025.02 | 0.286 | 0.334 | |
| PatchTSTHorizon=962023.07 | 0.292 | — | |
| Sundial-sPred_len=962025.02 | 0.292 | 0.342 | |
| GPT4TST=962025.02 | 0.292 | 0.346 | |
| CMoSPrediction Length (O)=962025.09 | 0.292 | 0.345 | |
| TTMET=962025.02 | 0.293 | — | |
| PatchTSTT=962025.02 | 0.293 | 0.346 | |
| DistilTS_TPrediction Length=962026.01 | 0.297 | 0.353 | |
| DLinearT=962025.02 | 0.299 | 0.343 | |
| DLinearHorizon=962023.07 | 0.301 | — | |
| FiLMHorizon=962023.07 | 0.302 | — | |
| FITSHorizon=962023.07 | 0.303 | — | |
| DistilTS_LPrediction Length=962026.01 | 0.304 | 0.352 | |
| IPatchHorizon=96, Look-back=962026.03 | 0.304 | 0.341 | |
| FITSHorizon=962023.07 | 0.305 | — | |
| SEEDPrediction Length (T)=962025.12 | 0.306 | 0.351 | |
| Time-MOE-bPred_len=1922025.02 | 0.307 | 0.358 | |
| QDFForecasting Horizon (T)=96, History Window Length=962025.10 | 0.307 | 0.349 | |
| TQNetForecasting Horizon (T)=96, History Window Length=962025.10 | 0.31 | 0.352 | |
| TimeMoe_LPrediction Length=962026.01 | 0.311 | 0.358 | |
| TQNetPrediction Length (T)=962025.12 | 0.311 | 0.353 | |
| DGFBackbone=Moirai-base2026.06 | 0.317 | 0.357 | |
| PatchTST + xCPDBackbone=PatchTST, Forecasting Horizon=962026.03 | 0.318 | 0.358 | |
| MSGNetPrediction Length (T)=962025.12 | 0.319 | 0.366 | |
| FeDaLEvaluation Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.08 | 0.319 | 0.365 | |
| MICNForecasting Horizon (T)=96, History Window Length=962025.10 | 0.319 | 0.366 | |
| DistilTS_LPrediction Length=Avg.2026.01 | 0.32 | 0.356 | |
| TimeMixerPrediction Horizon (T)=962025.12 | 0.32 | 0.357 | |
| TimeAlignPrediction Length (O)=1922025.09 | 0.322 | 0.356 | |
| FFTSEvaluation Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.08 | 0.323 | 0.374 | |
| DUETPrediction Length (T)=962025.12 | 0.324 | 0.354 | |
| SOFTSPrediction Length (T)=962025.12 | 0.325 | 0.361 | |
| GTMPred_len=1922025.02 | 0.325 | 0.366 | |
| GTMT=1922025.02 | 0.325 | 0.366 | |
| PatchTSTForecasting Horizon (T)=96, History Window Length=962025.10 | 0.325 | 0.364 | |
| FEDformerT=962025.02 | 0.326 | 0.39 | |
| PDFForecasting Horizon (T)=96, History Window Length=962025.10 | 0.326 | 0.363 | |
| FredformerForecasting Horizon (T)=96, History Window Length=962025.10 | 0.326 | 0.361 | |
| Chronos_SPrediction Length=962026.01 | 0.328 | 0.332 | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (T)=962025.12 | 0.329 | 0.367 | |
| DLinear + xCPDBackbone=DLinear, Forecasting Horizon=962026.03 | 0.329 | 0.362 | |
| TimesNet + xCPDBackbone=TimesNet, Forecasting Horizon=962026.03 | 0.329 | 0.367 | |
| Time-LLMEvaluation Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.08 | 0.329 | 0.372 | |
| PatchTSTHorizon=1922023.07 | 0.33 | — | |
| TimeMoe_LPrediction Length=Avg.2026.01 | 0.33 | 0.37 | |
| Chronos_BPrediction Length=962026.01 | 0.332 | 0.333 | |
| GPT4TST=1922025.02 | 0.332 | 0.372 | |
| MoiraiModel scale=base, Adaptation strategy=MSFT2026.06 | 0.332 | 0.369 | |
| S-MambaPrediction Horizon (T)=962025.12 | 0.333 | 0.368 | |
| PatchTSTT=1922025.02 | 0.333 | 0.37 | |
| FedAvgEvaluation Mode=Full-shot, Averaged Horizons={96, 192, 336, 720}2025.08 | 0.333 | 0.367 | |
| DistilTS_TPrediction Length=Avg.2026.01 | 0.334 | 0.376 | |
| iTransformerPrediction Horizon (T)=962025.12 | 0.334 | 0.368 | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length (T)=962025.12 | 0.334 | 0.368 | |
| CMoSPrediction Length (O)=1922025.09 | 0.334 | 0.366 | |
| DLinearHorizon=1922023.07 | 0.335 | — | |
| TTMET=1922025.02 | 0.335 | — | |
| DLinearT=1922025.02 | 0.335 | 0.365 | |
| FITSHorizon=1922023.07 | 0.337 | — | |
| DistilTS_LPrediction Length=1922026.01 | 0.337 | 0.36 | |
| Sundial-sPred_len=1922025.02 | 0.337 | 0.376 | |
| FiLMHorizon=1922023.07 | 0.338 | — | |
| TimesNetHorizon=962023.07 | 0.338 | — | |
| TimesNetT=962025.02 | 0.338 | 0.375 | |
| iTransformerForecasting Horizon (T)=96, History Window Length=962025.10 | 0.338 | 0.372 | |
| DGFBackbone=Moirai-small2026.06 | 0.338 | 0.369 | |
| FITSHorizon=1922023.07 | 0.339 | — | |
| GTMPred_len=Avg.2025.02 | 0.339 | 0.376 | |
| GTMstatus=pre-trained without modifications2025.02 | 0.339 | 0.376 | |
| GTMT=Avg2025.02 | 0.339 | 0.376 | |
| TimeMoe_SPrediction Length=962026.01 | 0.34 | 0.369 | |
| TimeAlignPrediction Length (O)=Avg2025.09 | 0.34 | 0.367 | |
| TSCOMPModel category=AutoML2026.05 | 0.341 | 0.371 | |
| TSCOMPAveraged Horizons=42026.05 | 0.341 | 0.371 | |
| TSCOMPPrediction Horizons=Averaged across four2026.05 | 0.341 | 0.371 | |
| FreTSForecasting Horizon (T)=96, History Window Length=962025.10 | 0.342 | 0.375 | |
| DLinearPrediction Horizon (T)=962025.12 | 0.345 | 0.372 | |
| ChimeraAverage over horizons=True2024.06 | 0.345 | 0.377 | |
| Time-MOE-bPred_len=Avg.2025.02 | 0.345 | 0.381 | |
| DLinearForecasting Horizon (T)=96, History Window Length=962025.10 | 0.346 | 0.373 | |
| TimeMoe_SPrediction Length=Avg.2026.01 | 0.347 | 0.379 | |
| MOIRAI_BPrediction Length=962026.01 | 0.347 | 0.36 | |
| TVNetPrediction Length (O)=Avg2025.09 | 0.348 | 0.379 | |
| RAFTAveraged Horizons=42026.05 | 0.348 | 0.378 | |
| RAFTPrediction Horizons=Averaged across four2026.05 | 0.348 | 0.378 | |
| TimeMoe_LPrediction Length=1922026.01 | 0.35 | 0.383 | |
| SEEDPrediction Length (T)=1922025.12 | 0.35 | 0.378 |